Watford vs Swansea City

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.12
49% pred
+1.7%
Draw
3.28
25% pred
-5.1%
Away Win
3.45
26% pred
-3.2%
BTTS Yes 1.84 43%
BTTS No 1.89 47%

Key Insights

Dead Rubber

Both teams safe in mid-table with nothing to play for - reduced intensity expected

Medium impact

Must Win

Swansea City

Swansea City in position 16 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Top Scorer

Swansea City

Swansea City has Zan Vipotnik ranked #1 in league scoring (13 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 31 2026 · 15:00
Venue
Vicarage Road (Watford)
Competition
Championship · 30
Referee
Matthew Corlett Matthew Corlett

Coaches

Edward Still

Edward Still

Watford Watford

In role since Feb 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Vitor Matos

Vitor Matos

Swansea City Swansea City

In role since Nov 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Watford Watford
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
W H Derby County Derby County 2-0
L H Swansea City Swansea City 0-2
D H Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1
L H Millwall Millwall 0-2
W H Birmingham City Birmingham City 3-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
W H Derby County Derby County 2-0
L H Swansea City Swansea City 0-2
D H Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1
L H Millwall Millwall 0-2
W H Birmingham City Birmingham City 3-0
0W 3D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
D A Preston North End Preston North End 2-2
L A Southampton Southampton 0-1
D A Hull City Hull City 0-0
D A Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1
L A Bristol City Bristol City 1-5
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
W H Derby County Derby County 2-0
D A Preston North End Preston North End 2-2
L A Southampton Southampton 0-1
D A Hull City Hull City 0-0
L H Swansea City Swansea City 0-2
Swansea City Swansea City
2W 0D 3L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Derby County Derby County 0-2
W A Watford Watford 2-0
L A Hull City Hull City 1-2
L A Millwall Millwall 1-2
W A Oxford United Oxford United 1-0
3W 2D 0L
2.2 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Bristol City Bristol City 1-0
W H Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 4-0
W H Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-1
D H Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 2-2
2W 0D 3L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Derby County Derby County 0-2
W A Watford Watford 2-0
L A Hull City Hull City 1-2
L A Millwall Millwall 1-2
W A Oxford United Oxford United 1-0
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Bristol City Bristol City 1-0
L A Derby County Derby County 0-2
W H Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 4-0
W A Watford Watford 2-0
L A Hull City Hull City 1-2

Sidelined Players

Watford Watford 1 out
Rocco Vata
Rocco Vata
injury
Swansea City Swansea City 0 out

No reported absences

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Watford
3
30%
Draws
2
20%
Swansea City
5
50%
Avg Goals
2.1
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
51%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%

Final Words

Watford have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches.