Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
1.84
41% pred
-13.1%
Draw
3.42
27% pred
-2.1%
Away Win
4.36
32% pred
+8.6%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.93
47%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
4.36
+8.6% edge
32% probability
Expected value: +0.38 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
67%
Match Info
Kickoff
Fri, Jan 2 2026
·
20:45
Venue
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
(Guimarães)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
17
Referee
André Filipe Domingues Narciso
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Vitória Guimarães
3W 0D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Estrela Amadora
2-1
Estrela Amadora
2-1
W
H
Moreirense
1-0
Moreirense
1-0
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
L
H
Sporting CP
1-4
Sporting CP
1-4
3W 0D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Estrela Amadora
2-1
Estrela Amadora
2-1
W
H
Moreirense
1-0
Moreirense
1-0
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
L
H
Sporting CP
1-4
Sporting CP
1-4
1W 1D 3L
1.4 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Sporting Braga
2-3
Sporting Braga
2-3
L
A
Arouca
2-3
Arouca
2-3
L
A
Estoril
2-4
Estoril
2-4
D
A
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
W
A
Rio Ave
1-0
Rio Ave
1-0
2W 0D 3L
1.8 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
Sporting Braga
2-3
Sporting Braga
2-3
W
H
Estrela Amadora
2-1
Estrela Amadora
2-1
L
A
Arouca
2-3
Arouca
2-3
W
H
Moreirense
1-0
Moreirense
1-0
L
A
Estoril
2-4
Estoril
2-4
Nacional
0W 1D 4L
1 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
Arouca
0-3
Arouca
0-3
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
L
A
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
1-2
Vitória Guimarães
1-2
D
A
AVS
2-2
AVS
2-2
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
D
H
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
W
H
Rio Ave
4-0
Rio Ave
4-0
D
H
Santa Clara
3-3
Santa Clara
3-3
W
H
Tondela
3-1
Tondela
3-1
0W 1D 4L
1 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
Arouca
0-3
Arouca
0-3
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
L
A
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
1-2
Vitória Guimarães
1-2
D
A
AVS
2-2
AVS
2-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Arouca
0-3
Arouca
0-3
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
D
H
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
W
H
Rio Ave
4-0
Rio Ave
4-0
Sidelined Players
Vitória Guimarães
2 out
Óscar Rivas
injury
Rodrigo Abascal
injury
Nacional
3 out
Filipe Soares
injury
Ivanildo Fernandes
injury
Ulisses
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Vitória Guimarães
5
50%
Draws
2
20%
Nacional
3
30%
Avg Goals
3.1
BTTS
80%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Nacional have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.
