Villarreal vs Real Madrid

Value Assessment

Home Win
3.75
28% pred
+1.5%
Draw
4.01
24% pred
-0.9%
Away Win
1.85
48% pred
-6.3%
BTTS Yes 1.41 58%
BTTS No 2.80 36%

Key Insights

Title Race

Real Madrid

Real Madrid in position 2, 1 point behind leader - competing for title

High impact

Rotation Risk

Villarreal

Villarreal has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

High impact

Away Specialist

Real Madrid

Real Madrid exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

Match Normality

60%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal)
Competition
La Liga · 21
Referee
César Soto Grado César Soto Grado

Coaches

Marcelino García Toral

Marcelino García Toral

Villarreal Villarreal

In role since Nov 2023

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Álvaro Arbeloa Coca

Álvaro Arbeloa Coca

Real Madrid Real Madrid

In role since Jan 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Villarreal Villarreal
3W 0D 2L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
W H Valencia Valencia 2-1
W H Espanyol Espanyol 4-1
L H Real Madrid Real Madrid 0-2
L H Ajax Ajax 1-2
W H Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés 3-1
3W 0D 2L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
W H Valencia Valencia 2-1
W H Espanyol Espanyol 4-1
L H Real Madrid Real Madrid 0-2
L H Ajax Ajax 1-2
W H Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés 3-1
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
W A Levante Levante 1-0
L A Getafe Getafe 1-2
D A Osasuna Osasuna 2-2
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-3
L A Real Betis Real Betis 0-2
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Valencia Valencia 2-1
W A Levante Levante 1-0
L A Getafe Getafe 1-2
W H Espanyol Espanyol 4-1
D A Osasuna Osasuna 2-2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Osasuna Osasuna 1-2
W A Benfica Benfica 1-0
W A Valencia Valencia 2-0
L A Benfica Benfica 2-4
W A Villarreal Villarreal 2-0
5W 0D 0L
3.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4-1
W H Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-1
W H Monaco Monaco 6-1
W H Levante Levante 2-0
W H Real Betis Real Betis 5-1
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Osasuna Osasuna 1-2
W A Benfica Benfica 1-0
W A Valencia Valencia 2-0
L A Benfica Benfica 2-4
W A Villarreal Villarreal 2-0
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
L A Osasuna Osasuna 1-2
W A Benfica Benfica 1-0
W H Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4-1
W A Valencia Valencia 2-0
W H Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-1

Sidelined Players

Villarreal Villarreal 6 out
Pau Cabanes
Pau Cabanes
injury
Alfonso Pedraza
Alfonso Pedraza
injury
Logan Costa
Logan Costa
injury
Juan Foyth
Juan Foyth
injury
Raúl Albiol
Raúl Albiol
suspension

+1 more

Real Madrid Real Madrid 6 out
Jude Bellingham
Jude Bellingham
injury
Dani Ceballos
Dani Ceballos
injury
Éder Militão 
Éder Militão 
injury
Rodrygo
Rodrygo
injury
Rodrygo
Rodrygo
suspended

+1 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Villarreal
2
20%
Draws
2
20%
Real Madrid
6
60%
Avg Goals
3.7
BTTS
70%

League Signals

Predictability
50%
LOW
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
46%

Final Words

Real Madrid arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors Real Madrid in recent meetings.