VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund

Value Assessment

Home Win
4.38
26% pred
+3.4%
MARGINAL
Draw
4.10
26% pred
+1.9%
Away Win
1.69
47% pred
-11.7%
BTTS Yes 1.54 45%
BTTS No 2.39 44%

Key Insights

Title Race

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund in position 2, 5 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund has Serhou Guirassy ranked #7 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 44.9% BTTS vs 64.9% market consensus - lower probability, 20.1% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 14:30
Venue
Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)
Competition
Bundesliga · 21
Referee
Timo Gerach Timo Gerach

Coaches

Daniel Bauer

Daniel Bauer

VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg

In role since Dec 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Niko Kovač

Niko Kovač

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund

In role since Feb 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
1W 1D 3L
1.8 GF · 2.2 GA
L H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 2-3
L H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1-2
D H Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-1
W H St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-1
L H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3-4
1W 1D 3L
1.8 GF · 2.2 GA
L H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 2-3
L H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1-2
D H Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-1
W H St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-1
L H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3-4
1W 1D 3L
1.4 GF · 3 GA
D A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-2
L A FC Köln FC Köln 0-1
L A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-3
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-8
W A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1
0W 1D 4L
1.2 GF · 2.2 GA
L H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 2-3
D A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-2
L H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1-2
L A FC Köln FC Köln 0-1
L A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-3
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
D A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-2
W A VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 2-1
W A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-0
L A Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 0-2
D A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Atalanta Atalanta 2-0
W H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 4-0
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-2
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-2
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1.6 GA
D A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-2
W A VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 2-1
W A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-0
L A Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 0-2
D A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3
4W 1D 0L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
D A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-2
W H Atalanta Atalanta 2-0
W H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 4-0
W A VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 2-1
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-2

Sidelined Players

VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 12 out
Rogério
Rogério
injury
Maximilian Arnold
Maximilian Arnold
injury
Konstantinos Koulierakis
Konstantinos Koulierakis
injury
Jakub Kamiński
Jakub Kamiński
injury
Joakim Maehle
Joakim Maehle
injury

+7 more

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 5 out
Emre Can
Emre Can
injury
Filippo Mane
Filippo Mane
injury
Nico Schlotterbeck
Nico Schlotterbeck
injury
Niklas Süle
Niklas Süle
injury
Emre Can
Emre Can
injury

Head-to-Head

No previous meetings found

League Signals

Predictability
58%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

VfL Wolfsburg have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. Borussia Dortmund arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games.