Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
1.21
54% pred
-29.1%
Draw
7.01
23% pred
+8.9%
VALUE
Away Win
11.27
23% pred
+14.4%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.68
47%
BTTS No
2.12
42%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
11.27
+14.4% edge
23% probability
Expected value: +1.62 units per bet
Confidence
Low
57%
Key Insights
Must Win
Young Boys in position 25 with poor recent form (7% points) - must-win situation
High impactStreak Watch
Young Boys on 5-game losing streak - crisis form
High impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 53.6% home win vs 82.6% market consensus - lower probability, 29.1% gap
High impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.09 (HKJC) to 1.32 (188Bet) - 16.0% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
Medium impactMatch Normality
80%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Thu, Jan 29 2026
·
20:00
Venue
MHPArena
(Stuttgart)
Competition
Europa League
·
League Stage
, 8
Referee
Javier Alberola Rojas
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
VfB Stuttgart
4W 1D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
FC Köln
3-1
FC Köln
3-1
W
H
SC Freiburg
1-0
SC Freiburg
1-0
W
H
Young Boys
3-2
Young Boys
3-2
D
H
FC Union Berlin
1-1
FC Union Berlin
1-1
W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
3-2
Eintracht Frankfurt
3-2
4W 1D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
FC Köln
3-1
FC Köln
3-1
W
H
SC Freiburg
1-0
SC Freiburg
1-0
W
H
Young Boys
3-2
Young Boys
3-2
D
H
FC Union Berlin
1-1
FC Union Berlin
1-1
W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
3-2
Eintracht Frankfurt
3-2
2W 1D 2L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Heidenheim
3-3
Heidenheim
3-3
W
A
Celtic
4-1
Celtic
4-1
L
A
St. Pauli
1-2
St. Pauli
1-2
W
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-0
L
A
Roma
0-2
Roma
0-2
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Heidenheim
3-3
Heidenheim
3-3
W
A
Celtic
4-1
Celtic
4-1
W
H
FC Köln
3-1
FC Köln
3-1
L
A
St. Pauli
1-2
St. Pauli
1-2
W
H
SC Freiburg
1-0
SC Freiburg
1-0
Young Boys
0W 1D 4L
1.2 GF · 2.6 GA
L
A
Sion
1-3
Sion
1-3
L
A
St. Gallen
1-2
St. Gallen
1-2
D
A
Grasshopper
1-1
Grasshopper
1-1
L
A
VfB Stuttgart
2-3
VfB Stuttgart
2-3
L
A
Thun
1-4
Thun
1-4
2W 0D 3L
2.4 GF · 2.2 GA
W
H
Winterthur
6-1
Winterthur
6-1
W
H
Zürich
3-0
Zürich
3-0
L
H
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
L
H
Lausanne Sport
1-3
Lausanne Sport
1-3
L
H
Grasshopper
2-6
Grasshopper
2-6
0W 1D 4L
1.2 GF · 2.6 GA
L
A
Sion
1-3
Sion
1-3
L
A
St. Gallen
1-2
St. Gallen
1-2
D
A
Grasshopper
1-1
Grasshopper
1-1
L
A
VfB Stuttgart
2-3
VfB Stuttgart
2-3
L
A
Thun
1-4
Thun
1-4
2W 1D 2L
2.4 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Sion
1-3
Sion
1-3
W
H
Winterthur
6-1
Winterthur
6-1
L
A
St. Gallen
1-2
St. Gallen
1-2
D
A
Grasshopper
1-1
Grasshopper
1-1
W
H
Zürich
3-0
Zürich
3-0
Sidelined Players
VfB Stuttgart
12 out
Yannik Keitel
injury
Jeff Chabot
injury
Angelo Stiller
injury
Lazar Jovanovic
suspended
Dan-Axel Zagadou
injury
+7 more
Young Boys
5 out
Facinet Conte
injury
Facinet Conte
suspended
Ryan Andrews
injury
Saidy Janko
injury
Jaouen Hadjam
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 4)
VfB Stuttgart
3
75%
Draws
0
0%
Young Boys
1
25%
Avg Goals
5.0
BTTS
75%
League Signals
Predictability
51%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+12%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
21%
BTTS
53%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
Historically, VfB Stuttgart have dominated this fixture.
