VfB Stuttgart vs FC Union Berlin

Full Time

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.59
41% pred
-21.8%
Draw
4.07
29% pred
+4.8%
MARGINAL
Away Win
5.39
30% pred
+11.1%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 1.74 55%
BTTS No 2.04 39%

Key Insights

European Race

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart in position 3 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Streak Watch

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Streak Watch

FC Union Berlin

FC Union Berlin unbeaten in 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

High Scoring

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 41.1% home win vs 62.9% market consensus - lower probability, 21.8% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Jan 18 2026 · 14:30
Venue
MHPArena (Stuttgart)
Competition
Bundesliga · 18
Referee
Deniz Aytekin Deniz Aytekin

Coaches

Sebastian Hoeneß

Sebastian Hoeneß

VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart

In role since Apr 2023

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Steffen Baumgart

Steffen Baumgart

FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin

In role since Jan 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
4W 1D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H FC Köln FC Köln 3-1
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-0
W H Young Boys Young Boys 3-2
D H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 1-1
W H Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2
4W 1D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H FC Köln FC Köln 3-1
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-0
W H Young Boys Young Boys 3-2
D H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 1-1
W H Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2
2W 1D 2L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D A Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-3
W A Celtic Celtic 4-1
L A St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-2
W A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-0
L A Roma Roma 0-2
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.4 GA
D A Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-3
W A Celtic Celtic 4-1
W H FC Köln FC Köln 3-1
L A St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-2
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-0
FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2-3
L A TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 1-3
D A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-1
D A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-1
W A FC Köln FC Köln 1-0
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.4 GA
W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0
D H Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1
L H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-3
D H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-2
W H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-1
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2-3
L A TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 1-3
D A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-1
D A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-1
W A FC Köln FC Köln 1-0
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0
L A Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2-3
D H Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1
L A TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 1-3
L H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-3

Sidelined Players

VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 12 out
Yannik Keitel
Yannik Keitel
injury
Jeff Chabot
Jeff Chabot
injury
Angelo Stiller
Angelo Stiller
injury
Lazar Jovanovic
Lazar Jovanovic
suspended
Dan-Axel Zagadou
Dan-Axel Zagadou
injury

+7 more

FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 8 out
Ivan Prtajin
Ivan Prtajin
injury
Andrej Ilic
Andrej Ilic
injury
Jérôme Roussillon
Jérôme Roussillon
injury
Tom Rothe
Tom Rothe
injury
Josip Juranovic
Josip Juranovic
injury

+3 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

VfB Stuttgart
3
30%
Draws
4
40%
FC Union Berlin
3
30%
Avg Goals
3.1
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
58%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

FC Union Berlin have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.