Udinese vs Roma

Value Assessment

Home Win
4.26
19% pred
-4.5%
Draw
3.13
26% pred
-5.8%
Away Win
1.97
55% pred
+4.1%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes 2.14 38%
BTTS No 1.68 53%

Key Insights

European Race

Roma

Roma in position 5 - competing for Europa League qualification

High impact

Top Scorer

Udinese

Udinese has Keinan Davis ranked #6 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Mon, Feb 2 2026 · 19:45
Venue
Dacia Arena (Udine)
Competition
Serie A · 23
Referee
Juan Luca Sacchi Juan Luca Sacchi

Coaches

Kosta Runjaic
Kosta Runjaic Udinese Udinese

In role since Jul 2024

Attack Tempo

1.1

Defensive Control

24.6%

Match Shape

35.1%

Udinese, under Kosta Runjaic since July 2024, shows a modest attacking output of 1.1 goals per game and a conceding rate of 1.4, hinting at a balanced but slightly defensive approach. The BTTS rate of 54.4% and a 24.6% clean sheet share imply a tendency toward open games, with few clean sheets. A 35.1% draw rate reinforces point-sharing tendencies. With three seasons analyzed, the sample is modest, so observed tendencies carry variance.

Gian Piero Gasperini
Gian Piero Gasperini Roma Roma

In role since Jun 2025

Attack Tempo

1.5

Defensive Control

36.0%

Match Shape

23.7%

Roma, under Gian Piero Gasperini since 2025-06-06, across three seasons shows 1.5 goals for per match and 1.0 against. BTTS occurs in 51.8% of games, clean sheets in 36%, and draws in 23.7%. The data suggests a balanced attacking approach with a modest defensive footprint and a tendency for goals on both sides. Given the three-season sample, there is variance; estimates should be treated with caution.

Recent Form

Udinese Udinese
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L H Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2
W H Roma Roma 1-0
L H Inter Inter 0-1
D H Pisa Pisa 2-2
D H Lazio Lazio 1-1
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L H Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2
W H Roma Roma 1-0
L H Inter Inter 0-1
D H Pisa Pisa 2-2
D H Lazio Lazio 1-1
2W 0D 3L
1.4 GF · 2 GA
L A Lecce Lecce 1-2
W A Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-1
W A Torino Torino 2-1
L A Como Como 0-1
L A Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-5
2W 0D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L H Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2
L A Lecce Lecce 1-2
W H Roma Roma 1-0
W A Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-1
L H Inter Inter 0-1
Roma Roma
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
D A Napoli Napoli 2-2
L A Udinese Udinese 0-1
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1
W A Torino Torino 2-0
W A Lecce Lecce 2-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Cremonese Cremonese 3-0
W H Cagliari Cagliari 2-0
D H AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-0
L H Torino Torino 2-3
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
D A Napoli Napoli 2-2
L A Udinese Udinese 0-1
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1
W A Torino Torino 2-0
W A Lecce Lecce 2-0
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Cremonese Cremonese 3-0
D A Napoli Napoli 2-2
W H Cagliari Cagliari 2-0
L A Udinese Udinese 0-1
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1

Sidelined Players

Udinese Udinese 1 out
Keinan Davis
Keinan Davis
injury
Roma Roma 9 out
Manu Koné
Manu Koné
injury
Robinio Vaz
Robinio Vaz
injury
Matías Soulé
Matías Soulé
injury
Stephan El Shaarawy
Stephan El Shaarawy
injury
Gianluca Mancini
Gianluca Mancini
suspended

+4 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Udinese
2
20%
Draws
1
10%
Roma
7
70%
Avg Goals
2.6
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma starts at 19:45 [GMT] on Monday, February 2, at the Bluenergy Stadium.
Udinese Udinese

<p>Udinese return to home soil looking to build momentum after a timely 3-1 victory over rock-bottom Verona on Monday night. That result lifted the Friulani into 10th place with 29 points (8W, 5D, 9L) and gave them a three-point buffer inside the top half. Yet realistic hopes of pushing for European qualification appear to be fading.</p> <p>An 11-point gap to the top six before this round looks increasingly daunting, particularly given Udinese’s season-long inconsistency. The margin underscores the difficulty of a late push for European places.</p> <p>The signs at the Bluenergy Stadium are not encouraging, with the Zebrette collecting just one win from their last six home league matches (1W, 2D, 3L). That return suggests they may struggle to capitalise on their latest success.</p> <p>The challenge is compounded by a poor recent record in this fixture, with Roma winning each of the last six head-to-head meetings (6W, 0D, 0L). The pattern reflects a clear head-to-head edge for the capital club in Udine.</p> <p>Roma have also been dominant in Udine, remaining unbeaten in 11 of the last 13 Serie A visits (9W, 2D, 0L). The record reinforces the challenge for Udinese.</p> <p>Injury concerns continue to hamper the hosts, with Adam Buksa, Jakub Piotrowski, Hassane Kamara and Rui Modesto sidelined. Alessandro Zanoli faces a lengthy absence after a knee injury sustained last week.</p> <p>Kosta Runjaić is expected to deploy a 3-5-2 formation. Arthur Atta and Keinan Davis are named in the attacking line.</p>

Roma Roma

<p>Roma arrive for their second away assignment of the week after a demanding European trip to Greece. A hard-fought 1-1 draw against Panathinaikos secured direct qualification to the UEFA Europa League Round of 16.</p> <p>The result avoids the February play-offs, allowing Gian Piero Gasperini’s men to focus on domestic matters. The Giallorossi sit fourth on 43 points (14W, 1D, 7L).</p> <p>The league form has been encouraging, with three wins from their last five Serie A matches (LWWWD). They earned a 1-1 draw against AC Milan last weekend.</p> <p>Travel has often suited Roma this season, as they head into the round boasting the best away defensive record across Europe’s top five leagues (13 GA), conceding seven goals in 11 away matches. However, four defeats on the road underline that they are not without vulnerability (7W, 0D, 4L).</p> <p>The Giallorossi will be without Artem Dovbyk, Mario Hermoso and Stephan El Shaarawy due to injury, but they still possess enough quality to arrive in Udine full of confidence.</p> <p>Lorenzo Pellegrini may pair with Donyell Malen in attack in a 3-5-2 formation.</p>