Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal - Serie A Prediction & Analysis

Value Assessment

Home Win

7.54

18% pred

+4.3%

MARGINAL

Draw

4.40

23% pred

+0.5%

Away Win

1.43

59% pred

-10.7%

BTTS Yes 1.97 50%

BTTS No 1.80 50%

Key Insights

Title Race

Arsenal leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Rotation Risk

Arsenal has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Arsenal unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Away Specialist

Arsenal exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

High Scoring

Arsenal involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on away win: 1.25 (HKJC) to 1.60 (Betway) - 17.5% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sun, Feb 22 2026 · 16:30

Venue

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Competition

Premier League · 27

Referee

Peter Bankes

Coaches

Igor Tudor

Tottenham Hotspur

In role since Feb 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Mikel Arteta Amatriain

Arsenal

In role since Dec 2019

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Tottenham Hotspur

1W 1D 3L

1.4 GF · 2 GA

L H Arsenal

Arsenal 1-4

L H

Newcastle United 1-2

D H

Manchester City 2-2

W H

Borussia Dortmund 2-0

L H

West Ham United 1-2

1W 1D 3L

1.4 GF · 2 GA

L H Arsenal

Arsenal 1-4

L H

Newcastle United 1-2

D H

Manchester City 2-2

W H

Borussia Dortmund 2-0

L H

West Ham United 1-2

1W 2D 2L

1.2 GF · 1.4 GA

L A

Manchester United 0-2

W A

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0

D A Burnley

Burnley 2-2

L A

AFC Bournemouth 2-3

D A

Brentford 0-0

1W 1D 3L

1.2 GF · 2 GA

L H Arsenal

Arsenal 1-4

L H

Newcastle United 1-2

L A

Manchester United 0-2

D H

Manchester City 2-2

W A

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0

Arsenal

3W 2D 0L

2.8 GF · 1 GA

W A

Tottenham Hotspur 4-1

D A

Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2

D A

Brentford 1-1

W A

Leeds United 4-0

W A Inter

Inter 3-1

4W 0D 1L

2.6 GF · 1 GA

W H

Wigan Athletic 4-0

W H

Sunderland 3-0

W H Chelsea

Chelsea 1-0

W H Kairat

Kairat 3-2

L H

Manchester United 2-3

3W 2D 0L

2.8 GF · 1 GA

W A

Tottenham Hotspur 4-1

D A

Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2

D A

Brentford 1-1

W A

Leeds United 4-0

W A Inter

Inter 3-1

3W 2D 0L

2.8 GF · 0.8 GA

W A

Tottenham Hotspur 4-1

D A

Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2

W H

Wigan Athletic 4-0

D A

Brentford 1-1

W H

Sunderland 3-0

Sidelined Players

Tottenham Hotspur 12 out

Cristian Romero

suspended

Richarlison

injury

Ben Davies

injury

Wilson Odobert

injury

Destiny Udogie

injury

+7 more

Arsenal 3 out

Mikel Merino

injury

Mikel Merino

injury

Kai Havertz

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Tottenham Hotspur

1

10%

Draws

1

10%

Arsenal

8

80%

Avg Goals

3.6

BTTS

70%

League Signals

Predictability

47%

LOW

Home Bias

+5%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.9

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

23%

BTTS

54%

Over 2.5

56%

Final Words

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal is a Premier League fixture scheduled for 16:30 UTC on 22 February 2026. The data notes this match in a title race context with rotation risk and an away specialist signal.

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham have five recent home results: L-L-D-W-D. They have scored seven and conceded eight, with one win, two draws and two losses. In head-to-head, Arsenal won the only prior meeting.

Arsenal

Arsenal away form covers five matches with D-W-D-W-W. They have 14 goals for and 3 against, with three wins and two draws and no defeats. Insights flag rotation risk due to congestion and describe them as away specialists.