Torino vs Lecce

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.12
45% pred
-2.5%
Draw
2.91
29% pred
-5.3%
Away Win
4.08
26% pred
+1.8%
BTTS Yes 2.11 38%
BTTS No 1.69 53%

Key Insights

Must Win

Lecce

Lecce in position 17 with poor recent form (7% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Lecce

Lecce without a win in 5 games (1 draws, 4 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 11:30
Venue
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (Torino)
Competition
Serie A · 23
Referee
Simone Sozza Simone Sozza

Coaches

Marco Baroni
Marco Baroni Torino Torino

In role since Jul 2025

Attack Tempo

1.0

Defensive Control

34.2%

Match Shape

34.2%

Since taking charge on 2025-07-01, Marco Baroni’s Torino have averaged 1.0 goals per match and 1.1 goals conceded per match, yielding a modest defensive profile. Clean sheets stand at 34.2% with a 34.2% draw rate, and 43% of matches feature both teams scoring. The sample—three seasons—permits only limited inference about tactical tendencies; results may reflect variance as sample size remains small.

Eusebio Di Francesco
Eusebio Di Francesco Lecce Lecce

In role since Jun 2025

Attack Tempo

0.8

Defensive Control

19.3%

Match Shape

31.6%

Since 2025-06-26, Lecce under Eusebio Di Francesco show a low-scoring profile: 0.8 goals for per game against 1.4, with a 19.3% clean sheet rate. BTTS occurs in 45.6% of matches, and draws reach 31.6%, suggesting a defensively cautious setup with limited goal threat and openings in both boxes. With only three seasons analyzed, sample size is small, so these signals carry notable variance.

Recent Form

Torino Torino
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 1.6 GA
L H Bologna Bologna 1-2
W H Lecce Lecce 1-0
L H Roma Roma 0-2
L H Udinese Udinese 1-2
L H Cagliari Cagliari 1-2
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 1.6 GA
L H Bologna Bologna 1-2
W H Lecce Lecce 1-0
L H Roma Roma 0-2
L H Udinese Udinese 1-2
L H Cagliari Cagliari 1-2
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 3 GA
L A Genoa Genoa 0-3
D A Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2
L A Inter Inter 1-2
L A Como Como 0-6
W A Roma Roma 3-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
L A Genoa Genoa 0-3
L H Bologna Bologna 1-2
D A Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2
L A Inter Inter 1-2
W H Lecce Lecce 1-0
Lecce Lecce
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Cagliari Cagliari 2-0
L A Torino Torino 0-1
L A AC Milan AC Milan 0-1
L A Inter Inter 0-1
D A Juventus Juventus 1-1
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.4 GA
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H Udinese Udinese 2-1
D H Lazio Lazio 0-0
L H Parma Parma 1-2
L H Roma Roma 0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Cagliari Cagliari 2-0
L A Torino Torino 0-1
L A AC Milan AC Milan 0-1
L A Inter Inter 0-1
D A Juventus Juventus 1-1
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 0.8 GA
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W A Cagliari Cagliari 2-0
W H Udinese Udinese 2-1
L A Torino Torino 0-1
D H Lazio Lazio 0-0

Sidelined Players

Torino Torino 6 out
Zakaria Aboukhlal
Zakaria Aboukhlal
injury
Ché Adams
Ché Adams
injury
Adam Masina
Adam Masina
injury
Zanos Savva
Zanos Savva
injury
Zanos Savva
Zanos Savva
injury

+1 more

Lecce Lecce 1 out
Francesco Camarda
Francesco Camarda
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Torino
6
60%
Draws
1
10%
Lecce
3
30%
Avg Goals
1.9
BTTS
20%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Torino vs Lecce kicks off at 11:30 [GMT] on Sunday, February 1, at the Olimpico di Torino.
Torino Torino

<p>Torino and Lecce meet in a crucial Serie A clash, with both sides near the relegation zone. Torino sit 14th with 23 points, and their recent form is a concern.</p> <p>The Granata have lost their last four Serie A matches, and home form has been unstable. Five defeats in six home league games and only one win from the last seven at home; they have also suffered three straight half-time/full-time defeats.</p> <p>There may be encouragement from Torino's record against Lecce at home. They are unbeaten in five of their last six home meetings with Lecce in Serie A, and have kept clean sheets in the last three such encounters.</p> <p>Historically, these matches tend to be tight and low-scoring. Under 2.5 goals has landed in five of their last six head-to-head clashes, including each of Torino's three most recent home games against Lecce.</p> <p>The objective for Torino is to end a four-game losing run. The run is denoted by the sequence WLLLL.</p> <p>The setup favours a 3-4-1-2 formation with Cyril Ngonge and Che Adams in attack against Lecce.</p>

Lecce Lecce

<p>Lecce sit 17th with 18 points, hovering just above the relegation line. Their overall form has been bleak, with six wins from 37 Serie A matches, underscoring their prolonged struggle at this level.</p> <p>Away from home, Lecce have lost seven of their last 11 league matches, underlining their vulnerability on the road.</p> <p>Goals have also been a major issue. The visitors failed to score in their last three Serie A games, a worrying trend ahead of a tense relegation battle.</p> <p>Like Torino, Lecce have been involved in low-scoring affairs recently. Under 2.5 goals have been recorded in all of Lecce’s last three away matches in Serie A, reinforcing expectations of a cagey and cautious contest.</p> <p>With both sides lacking attacking fluency, this match could be decided by fine margins, set pieces, or a single moment of quality.</p> <p>In summary, this encounter shapes up as a tense and tactical affair between two sides desperate to halt negative momentum. A 4-2-3-1 formation with Nikola Štulić in attack is expected against II Toro.</p>