Sunderland vs Liverpool

Value Assessment

Home Win
4.50
22% pred
-0.3%
Draw
3.84
27% pred
+1.4%
Away Win
1.75
51% pred
-6.5%
BTTS Yes 1.69 39%
BTTS No 2.12 52% MARGINAL

Key Insights

Top Scorer

Liverpool

Liverpool has Hugo Ekitiké ranked #5 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 38.6% BTTS vs 59.2% market consensus - lower probability, 20.5% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Feb 11 2026 · 20:15
Venue
Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
Competition
Premier League · 26
Referee
Chris Kavanagh Chris Kavanagh

Coaches

Régis Le Bris

Régis Le Bris

Sunderland Sunderland

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Arne Slot

Arne Slot

Liverpool Liverpool

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Sunderland Sunderland
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
L H Fulham Fulham 1-3
L H Liverpool Liverpool 0-1
W H Burnley Burnley 3-0
W H Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-1
D H Manchester City Manchester City 0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
L H Fulham Fulham 1-3
L H Liverpool Liverpool 0-1
W H Burnley Burnley 3-0
W H Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-1
D H Manchester City Manchester City 0-0
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 2 GA
W A Oxford United Oxford United 1-0
L A Arsenal Arsenal 0-3
L A West Ham United West Ham United 1-3
D A Everton Everton 1-1
L A Brentford Brentford 0-3
2W 0D 3L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
L H Fulham Fulham 1-3
W A Oxford United Oxford United 1-0
L H Liverpool Liverpool 0-1
L A Arsenal Arsenal 0-3
W H Burnley Burnley 3-0
Liverpool Liverpool
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0
W A Sunderland Sunderland 1-0
L A AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth 2-3
W A Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 3-0
D A Arsenal Arsenal 0-0
3W 1D 1L
3 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0
L H Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
W H Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-1
W H Qarabağ Qarabağ 6-0
D H Burnley Burnley 1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0
W A Sunderland Sunderland 1-0
L A AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth 2-3
W A Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 3-0
D A Arsenal Arsenal 0-0
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0
W H Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0
W A Sunderland Sunderland 1-0
L H Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
W H Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-1

Sidelined Players

Sunderland Sunderland 6 out
Bertrand Traoré
Bertrand Traoré
injury
Jocelin Ta Bi
Jocelin Ta Bi
injury
Harrison Jones
Harrison Jones
injury
Granit Xhaka
Granit Xhaka
injury
Aji Alese
Aji Alese
injury

+1 more

Liverpool Liverpool 8 out
Florian Wirtz
Florian Wirtz
injury
Stefan Bajcetic
Stefan Bajcetic
suspended
Harvey Davies
Harvey Davies
suspended
Alexander Isak
Alexander Isak
injury
Giovanni Leoni
Giovanni Leoni
injury

+3 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Sunderland
0
0%
Draws
4
40%
Liverpool
6
60%
Avg Goals
2.2
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
47%
LOW
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
23%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
56%

Final Words

Liverpool arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors Liverpool in recent meetings.