St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart

Value Assessment

Home Win
3.79
21% pred
-5.1%
Draw
3.51
24% pred
-4.2%
Away Win
2.34
54% pred
+11.7%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 1.78 42%
BTTS No 1.99 47%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

St. Pauli

St. Pauli in position 17 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

St. Pauli

St. Pauli in position 17 with poor recent form (13% points) - must-win situation

High impact

BTTS Tendency

St. Pauli

St. Pauli matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart has Deniz Undav ranked #2 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on home win: 2.00 (Betfair) to 5.09 (Pinnacle) - 30.4% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on away win: 1.66 (bet365) to 3.75 (Betfair) - 33.6% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Match Normality

60%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 14:30
Venue
Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
Competition
Bundesliga · 21
Referee
Benjamin Brand Benjamin Brand

Coaches

Alexander Blessin

Alexander Blessin

St. Pauli St. Pauli

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Sebastian Hoeneß

Sebastian Hoeneß

VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart

In role since Apr 2023

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

St. Pauli St. Pauli
3W 2D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-1
D H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1
D H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 0-0
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1
3W 2D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-1
D H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1
D H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 0-0
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1
0W 1D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.2 GA
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-4
L A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-3
L A VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-2
D A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-4
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-1
L A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
D H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
2W 1D 2L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D A Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-3
W A Celtic Celtic 4-1
L A St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-2
W A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-0
L A Roma Roma 0-2
4W 1D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H FC Köln FC Köln 3-1
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-0
W H Young Boys Young Boys 3-2
D H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 1-1
W H Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2
2W 1D 2L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D A Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-3
W A Celtic Celtic 4-1
L A St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-2
W A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-0
L A Roma Roma 0-2
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.4 GA
D A Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-3
W A Celtic Celtic 4-1
W H FC Köln FC Köln 3-1
L A St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-2
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-0

Sidelined Players

St. Pauli St. Pauli 6 out
David Nemeth
David Nemeth
injury
Simon Spari
Simon Spari
injury
Andréas Hountondji
Andréas Hountondji
injury
Christopher Avevor
Christopher Avevor
injury
Connor Metcalfe
Connor Metcalfe
injury

+1 more

VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 12 out
Yannik Keitel
Yannik Keitel
injury
Jeff Chabot
Jeff Chabot
injury
Angelo Stiller
Angelo Stiller
injury
Lazar Jovanovic
Lazar Jovanovic
suspended
Dan-Axel Zagadou
Dan-Axel Zagadou
injury

+7 more

Head-to-Head

No previous meetings found

League Signals

Predictability
58%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%