St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig

Value Assessment

Home Win
4.72
26% pred
+4.9%
MARGINAL
Draw
3.58
27% pred
-1.2%
Away Win
1.77
47% pred
-9.3%
BTTS Yes 1.92 43%
BTTS No 1.84 47%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

St. Pauli

St. Pauli in position 17 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

European Race

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig in position 5 - competing for Europa League qualification

High impact

Must Win

St. Pauli

St. Pauli in position 17 with poor recent form (13% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

St. Pauli

St. Pauli without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

BTTS Tendency

St. Pauli

St. Pauli matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig has Christoph Baumgartner ranked #9 in league scoring (6 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Tue, Jan 27 2026 · 19:30
Venue
Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
Competition
Bundesliga · 16
Referee
Florian Exner Florian Exner

Coaches

Alexander Blessin

Alexander Blessin

St. Pauli St. Pauli

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Ole Werner

Ole Werner

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig

In role since Jul 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

St. Pauli St. Pauli
3W 2D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-1
D H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1
D H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 0-0
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1
3W 2D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-1
D H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1
D H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 0-0
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1
0W 1D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.2 GA
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-4
L A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-3
L A VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-2
D A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-4
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-1
L A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
D H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W A FC Köln FC Köln 2-1
D A St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1
W A Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-0
L A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 1-3
D A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0
1W 2D 2L
1.6 GF · 2.2 GA
D H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-2
D H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 2-2
L H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-2
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-5
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 2-0
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W A FC Köln FC Köln 2-1
D A St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1
W A Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-0
L A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 1-3
D A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
D H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-2
D H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 2-2
W A FC Köln FC Köln 2-1
L H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-2
D A St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1

Sidelined Players

St. Pauli St. Pauli 6 out
David Nemeth
David Nemeth
injury
Simon Spari
Simon Spari
injury
Andréas Hountondji
Andréas Hountondji
injury
Christopher Avevor
Christopher Avevor
injury
Connor Metcalfe
Connor Metcalfe
injury

+1 more

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 out
Kevin Kampl
Kevin Kampl
injury
Assan Ouédraogo
Assan Ouédraogo
injury
Péter Gulácsi
Péter Gulácsi
injury
Xaver Schlager
Xaver Schlager
injury
Yan Diomande
Yan Diomande
injury

+2 more

Head-to-Head (Last 3)

St. Pauli
0
0%
Draws
2
67%
RB Leipzig
1
33%
Avg Goals
1.3
BTTS
33%

League Signals

Predictability
58%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

RB Leipzig have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. The head-to-head favors RB Leipzig in recent meetings.