St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.80
41% pred
+4.8%
MARGINAL
Draw
2.93
28% pred
-6.0%
Away Win
2.79
31% pred
-4.6%
BTTS Yes 2.05 51%
BTTS No 1.73 44%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

St. Pauli

St. Pauli in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

St. Pauli

St. Pauli in position 16 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Away Struggles

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV winless in last 8 away matches (2 draws, 6 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Fri, Jan 23 2026 · 19:30
Venue
Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
Competition
Bundesliga · 19
Referee
Tobias Welz Tobias Welz

Coaches

Alexander Blessin

Alexander Blessin

St. Pauli St. Pauli

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Merlin Polzin

Merlin Polzin

Hamburger SV Hamburger SV

In role since Dec 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

St. Pauli St. Pauli
3W 2D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-1
D H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1
D H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 0-0
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1
3W 2D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-1
D H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1
D H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 0-0
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1
0W 1D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.2 GA
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-4
L A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-3
L A VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-2
D A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-4
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-1
L A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 1-2
D H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
D A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-1
W A Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-0
D A St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-0
L A SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-2
L A TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 1-4
2W 3D 0L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-2
D H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 2-2
D H Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0
D H Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-2
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
D A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-1
W A Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-0
D A St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-0
L A SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-2
L A TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 1-4
2W 3D 0L
1.6 GF · 1 GA
D A FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-1
W H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-2
W A Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-0
D H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 2-2
D A St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-0

Sidelined Players

St. Pauli St. Pauli 6 out
David Nemeth
David Nemeth
injury
Simon Spari
Simon Spari
injury
Andréas Hountondji
Andréas Hountondji
injury
Christopher Avevor
Christopher Avevor
injury
Connor Metcalfe
Connor Metcalfe
injury

+1 more

Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 4 out
Jean-Luc Dompé
Jean-Luc Dompé
injury
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit
injury
Albert Sambi Lokonga
Albert Sambi Lokonga
injury
Albert Grønbæk
Albert Grønbæk
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 4)

St. Pauli
2
50%
Draws
2
50%
Hamburger SV
0
0%
Avg Goals
1.3
BTTS
25%

League Signals

Predictability
58%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

Historically, St. Pauli have dominated this fixture.