Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
11.06
40% pred
+30.9%
VALUE
Draw
4.85
30% pred
+9.4%
VALUE
Away Win
2.00
30% pred
-19.9%
BTTS Yes
1.79
47%
BTTS No
1.95
53%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
St. Mirren in position 10 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactStreak Watch
Motherwell unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactDefensive Fortress
Motherwell has excellent defensive record: 6 clean sheets in last 8 matches (75%) - favors Under/BTTS No
Medium impactTop Scorer
Motherwell has Tawanda Maswanhise ranked #1 in league scoring (14 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 39.9% home win vs 9.0% market consensus - higher probability, 30.9% gap
High impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on home win: 2.74 (188Bet) to 51.00 (Betfair) - 34.5% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on draw: 3.02 (MelBet) to 15.00 (Betfair) - 26.4% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on away win: 1.04 (Betsson) to 2.40 (Betway) - 54.5% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactMatch Normality
35%
High risk match
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026
·
19:30
Venue
The Smisa Stadium
(Greenhill Road)
Competition
Premiership
·
28
Referee
Calum Scott
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
St. Mirren
1W 2D 2L
0.2 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Motherwell
0-5
Motherwell
0-5
W
H
Hearts
1-0
Hearts
1-0
D
H
Dundee
0-0
Dundee
0-0
L
H
Falkirk
0-2
Falkirk
0-2
D
H
Kilmarnock
0-0
Kilmarnock
0-0
1W 2D 2L
0.2 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Motherwell
0-5
Motherwell
0-5
W
H
Hearts
1-0
Hearts
1-0
D
H
Dundee
0-0
Dundee
0-0
L
H
Falkirk
0-2
Falkirk
0-2
D
H
Kilmarnock
0-0
Kilmarnock
0-0
0W 1D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
Hibernian
0-2
Hibernian
0-2
L
A
Kilmarnock
3-4
Kilmarnock
3-4
D
A
Livingston
1-1
Livingston
1-1
L
A
Hearts
0-2
Hearts
0-2
L
A
Motherwell
0-2
Motherwell
0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 2.2 GA
L
H
Motherwell
0-5
Motherwell
0-5
L
A
Hibernian
0-2
Hibernian
0-2
L
A
Kilmarnock
3-4
Kilmarnock
3-4
W
H
Hearts
1-0
Hearts
1-0
D
H
Dundee
0-0
Dundee
0-0
Motherwell
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.4 GA
W
A
St. Mirren
5-0
St. Mirren
5-0
W
A
Livingston
2-0
Livingston
2-0
D
A
Hibernian
1-1
Hibernian
1-1
L
A
Rangers
0-1
Rangers
0-1
D
A
Dundee United
0-0
Dundee United
0-0
4W 1D 0L
2.2 GF · 0.2 GA
W
H
Aberdeen
2-0
Aberdeen
2-0
D
H
Rangers
1-1
Rangers
1-1
W
H
Kilmarnock
4-0
Kilmarnock
4-0
W
H
St. Mirren
2-0
St. Mirren
2-0
W
H
Celtic
2-0
Celtic
2-0
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.4 GA
W
A
St. Mirren
5-0
St. Mirren
5-0
W
A
Livingston
2-0
Livingston
2-0
D
A
Hibernian
1-1
Hibernian
1-1
L
A
Rangers
0-1
Rangers
0-1
D
A
Dundee United
0-0
Dundee United
0-0
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.2 GA
W
A
St. Mirren
5-0
St. Mirren
5-0
W
H
Aberdeen
2-0
Aberdeen
2-0
D
H
Rangers
1-1
Rangers
1-1
W
A
Livingston
2-0
Livingston
2-0
W
H
Kilmarnock
4-0
Kilmarnock
4-0
Sidelined Players
St. Mirren
0 out
No reported absences
Motherwell
1 out
Aston Oxborough
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
St. Mirren
1
10%
Draws
4
40%
Motherwell
5
50%
Avg Goals
2.1
BTTS
40%
League Signals
Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
52%
Final Words
St. Mirren have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Motherwell arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors Motherwell in recent meetings.
