Sporting CP vs Nacional - Serie A Prediction & Analysis

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.14

73% pred

-14.9%

Draw

8.13

19% pred

+6.6%

VALUE

Away Win

16.35

8% pred

+2.1%

BTTS Yes 2.04 32%

BTTS No 1.73 60%

Best Opportunity

VALUE

Draw @ 8.13

+6.6% edge 19% probability

Expected value: +0.54 units per bet

Confidence

Low

59%

Key Insights

Title Race

Sporting CP in position 2, 4 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Sporting CP on 5-game winning streak - exceptional form

High impact

Home Fortress

Sporting CP unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (8 wins, 0 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

High Scoring

Sporting CP involved in high-scoring games: 9 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

High Scoring

Nacional involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Sporting CP matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Nacional matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Sporting CP has Luis Suárez ranked #2 in league scoring (18 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Nacional has Jesús Ramírez ranked #5 in league scoring (13 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

100%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 18:00

Venue

Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)

Competition

Liga Portugal · 20

Referee

Ricardo Baixinho

Coaches

Coach assignment unavailable

Sporting CP

No active coach assignment available in current data for this team.

Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido

Nacional

In role since Jul 2023

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Sporting CP

5W 0D 0L

2.4 GF · 0.4 GA

W H

Famalicão 1-0

W H

Nacional 2-1

W H

Paris Saint Germain 2-1

W H

Casa Pia 3-0

W H Rio Ave

Rio Ave 4-0

5W 0D 0L

2.4 GF · 0.4 GA

W H

Famalicão 1-0

W H

Nacional 2-1

W H

Paris Saint Germain 2-1

W H

Casa Pia 3-0

W H Rio Ave

Rio Ave 4-0

3W 2D 0L

2 GF · 1 GA

W A

Moreirense 3-0

D A Porto

Porto 1-1

W A

Athletic Club 3-2

W A Arouca

Arouca 2-1

D A

Gil Vicente 1-1

4W 1D 0L

2 GF · 0.8 GA

W A

Moreirense 3-0

W H

Famalicão 1-0

D A Porto

Porto 1-1

W H

Nacional 2-1

W A

Athletic Club 3-2

Nacional

0W 1D 4L

1 GF · 2.2 GA

L A Arouca

Arouca 0-3

L A

Sporting CP 1-2

L A

Gil Vicente 1-2

L A

Vitória Guimarães 1-2

D A AVS

AVS 2-2

2W 2D 1L

2 GF · 1 GA

L H Porto

Porto 0-1

D H

Casa Pia 0-0

W H Rio Ave

Rio Ave 4-0

D H

Santa Clara 3-3

W H Tondela

Tondela 3-1

0W 1D 4L

1 GF · 2.2 GA

L A Arouca

Arouca 0-3

L A

Sporting CP 1-2

L A

Gil Vicente 1-2

L A

Vitória Guimarães 1-2

D A AVS

AVS 2-2

1W 1D 3L

1 GF · 1.2 GA

L A Arouca

Arouca 0-3

L H Porto

Porto 0-1

D H

Casa Pia 0-0

L A

Sporting CP 1-2

W H Rio Ave

Rio Ave 4-0

Sidelined Players

Sporting CP 6 out

Pedro Gonçalves

injury

Pedro Gonçalves

suspended

Maxi Araújo

suspended

Jeremiah St. Juste

injury

Geovany Quenda

injury

+1 more

Nacional 3 out

Filipe Soares

injury

Ivanildo Fernandes

injury

Ulisses

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Sporting CP

9

90%

Draws

1

10%

Nacional

0

0%

Avg Goals

3.1

BTTS

40%

League Signals

Predictability

54%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+7%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.6

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

24%

BTTS

49%

Over 2.5

49%

Final Words

Sporting CP enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Nacional have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, Sporting CP have dominated this fixture.