Sporting CP vs Casa Pia - Serie A Prediction & Analysis

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.18

80% pred

-4.8%

Draw

6.88

14% pred

-0.4%

Away Win

13.62

6% pred

-1.4%

BTTS Yes 2.27 37%

BTTS No 1.59 59%

Key Insights

Title Race

Sporting CP in position 2, 7 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

Relegation Zone

Casa Pia in position 15 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

Medium impact

Home Fortress

Sporting CP unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (7 wins, 1 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

Match Normality

100%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff

Fri, Jan 16 2026 · 20:15

Venue

Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)

Competition

Liga Portugal · 18

Referee

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Coaches

Coach assignment unavailable

Sporting CP

No active coach assignment available in current data for this team.

Álvaro Adriano Teixeira Pacheco

Casa Pia

In role since Jan 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Sporting CP

5W 0D 0L

2.4 GF · 0.4 GA

W H

Famalicão 1-0

W H

Nacional 2-1

W H

Paris Saint Germain 2-1

W H

Casa Pia 3-0

W H Rio Ave

Rio Ave 4-0

5W 0D 0L

2.4 GF · 0.4 GA

W H

Famalicão 1-0

W H

Nacional 2-1

W H

Paris Saint Germain 2-1

W H

Casa Pia 3-0

W H Rio Ave

Rio Ave 4-0

3W 2D 0L

2 GF · 1 GA

W A

Moreirense 3-0

D A Porto

Porto 1-1

W A

Athletic Club 3-2

W A Arouca

Arouca 2-1

D A

Gil Vicente 1-1

4W 1D 0L

2 GF · 0.8 GA

W A

Moreirense 3-0

W H

Famalicão 1-0

D A Porto

Porto 1-1

W H

Nacional 2-1

W A

Athletic Club 3-2

Casa Pia

1W 1D 3L

0.6 GF · 1.8 GA

L A

Famalicão 0-2

D A

Nacional 0-0

L A

Sporting CP 0-3

L A Rio Ave

Rio Ave 1-3

W A Tondela

Tondela 2-1

2W 3D 0L

1.8 GF · 1.4 GA

W H Arouca

Arouca 3-2

W H Porto

Porto 2-1

D H AVS

AVS 3-3

D H

Vitória Guimarães 0-0

D H

Gil Vicente 1-1

1W 1D 3L

0.6 GF · 1.8 GA

L A

Famalicão 0-2

D A

Nacional 0-0

L A

Sporting CP 0-3

L A Rio Ave

Rio Ave 1-3

W A Tondela

Tondela 2-1

2W 2D 1L

1.6 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

Famalicão 0-2

W H Arouca

Arouca 3-2

D A

Nacional 0-0

W H Porto

Porto 2-1

D H AVS

AVS 3-3

Sidelined Players

Sporting CP 6 out

Pedro Gonçalves

injury

Pedro Gonçalves

suspended

Maxi Araújo

suspended

Jeremiah St. Juste

injury

Geovany Quenda

injury

+1 more

Casa Pia 0 out

No reported absences

Head-to-Head (Last 8)

Sporting CP

8

100%

Draws

0

0%

Casa Pia

0

0%

Avg Goals

4.1

BTTS

50%

League Signals

Predictability

57%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+7%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.6

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

24%

BTTS

49%

Over 2.5

49%

Final Words

Sporting CP enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Historically, Sporting CP have dominated this fixture.