Southampton vs Hull City - Serie A Prediction & Analysis

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.60

50% pred

-12.0%

Draw

4.06

21% pred

-3.7%

Away Win

5.14

29% pred

+9.2%

VALUE

BTTS Yes 1.71 46%

BTTS No 2.07 45%

Best Opportunity

VALUE

Away Win @ 5.14

+9.2% edge 29% probability

Expected value: +0.47 units per bet

Confidence

Medium

61%

Key Insights

European Race

Hull City in position 5 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Hull City has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Away Specialist

Hull City exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 15:00

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Competition

Championship · 27

Referee

Samuel Allison

Coaches

William Still

Southampton

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Sergej Jakirović

Hull City

In role since Jul 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Southampton

4W 1D 0L

2 GF · 0.4 GA

W H

Queens Park Rangers 5-0

D H

Charlton Athletic 1-1

W H

Leicester City 2-1

W H Watford

Watford 1-0

W H

Sheffield United 1-0

4W 1D 0L

2 GF · 0.4 GA

W H

Queens Park Rangers 5-0

D H

Charlton Athletic 1-1

W H

Leicester City 2-1

W H Watford

Watford 1-0

W H

Sheffield United 1-0

3W 1D 1L

2 GF · 2 GA

W A

Leicester City 4-3

W A

Stoke City 2-0

D A

Portsmouth 1-1

W A

Doncaster Rovers 3-2

L A

Middlesbrough 0-4

4W 1D 0L

2.6 GF · 1 GA

W H

Queens Park Rangers 5-0

D H

Charlton Athletic 1-1

W H

Leicester City 2-1

W A

Leicester City 4-3

W H Watford

Watford 1-0

Hull City

4W 1D 0L

1.8 GF · 0.6 GA

W A

Blackburn Rovers 1-0

W A

Preston North End 3-0

W A

Southampton 2-1

W A

Middlesbrough 1-0

D A

Sheffield Wednesday 2-2

1W 1D 3L

1.4 GF · 2.4 GA

W H

Derby County 4-2

L H

Queens Park Rangers 1-3

L H Chelsea

Chelsea 0-4

L H

Bristol City 2-3

D H Watford

Watford 0-0

4W 1D 0L

1.8 GF · 0.6 GA

W A

Blackburn Rovers 1-0

W A

Preston North End 3-0

W A

Southampton 2-1

W A

Middlesbrough 1-0

D A

Sheffield Wednesday 2-2

1W 1D 3L

1.4 GF · 2.4 GA

W H

Derby County 4-2

L H

Queens Park Rangers 1-3

L H Chelsea

Chelsea 0-4

L H

Bristol City 2-3

D H Watford

Watford 0-0

Sidelined Players

Southampton 6 out

Kamaldeen Sulemana

injury

Jack Stephens

injury

Mads Roerslev

injury

Will Smallbone

injury

Alex McCarthy

injury

+1 more

Hull City 4 out

Mohamed Belloumi

injury

Oliver McBurnie

injury

Darko Gyabi

injury

Eliot Matazo

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Southampton

5

50%

Draws

1

10%

Hull City

4

40%

Avg Goals

2.5

BTTS

60%

League Signals

Predictability

51%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+9%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.5

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

26%

BTTS

49%

Over 2.5

46%

Final Words

Southampton enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Hull City have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.