SC Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.65
57% pred
-3.5%
Draw
4.15
24% pred
-0.2%
Away Win
4.65
19% pred
-2.5%
BTTS Yes 1.53 42%
BTTS No 2.40 48% VALUE

Key Insights

European Race

SC Heerenveen

SC Heerenveen in position 8 - competing for Conference League qualification

High impact

Away Struggles

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle winless in last 8 away matches (3 draws, 5 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

High Scoring

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

SC Heerenveen

SC Heerenveen has Jacob Trenskow ranked #10 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle has Koen Kostons ranked #6 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 41.9% BTTS vs 65.4% market consensus - lower probability, 23.4% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 15 2026 · 13:30
Venue
Abe Lenstra Stadion (Heerenveen)
Competition
Eredivisie · 23
Referee
Ingmar Oostrom Ingmar Oostrom

Coaches

Robin Veldman

Robin Veldman

SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen

In role since Mar 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Henry van der Vegt

Henry van der Vegt

PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle

In role since Jul 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
W H PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 4-2
D H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 1-1
L H FC Groningen FC Groningen 0-2
D H Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-2
L H PSV PSV 0-2
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
W H PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 4-2
D H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 1-1
L H FC Groningen FC Groningen 0-2
D H Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-2
L H PSV PSV 0-2
3W 0D 2L
2 GF · 1.8 GA
L A PSV PSV 1-3
W A Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-1
L A FC Twente FC Twente 0-5
W A Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 3-0
W A Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-0
2W 1D 2L
1.8 GF · 2.4 GA
L A PSV PSV 1-3
W H PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 4-2
W A Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-1
L A FC Twente FC Twente 0-5
D H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 1-1
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
0W 2D 3L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
D A FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 1-1
L A SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen 2-4
L A NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-2
D A FC Twente FC Twente 1-1
L A Excelsior Excelsior 1-2
4W 0D 1L
2.2 GF · 1 GA
L H FC Volendam FC Volendam 1-2
W H Telstar Telstar 4-1
W H AZ AZ 3-1
W H Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-0
W H SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen 2-1
0W 2D 3L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
D A FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 1-1
L A SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen 2-4
L A NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-2
D A FC Twente FC Twente 1-1
L A Excelsior Excelsior 1-2
1W 1D 3L
1.8 GF · 2 GA
D A FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 1-1
L A SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen 2-4
L H FC Volendam FC Volendam 1-2
W H Telstar Telstar 4-1
L A NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-2

Sidelined Players

SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen 2 out
Oliver Braude
Oliver Braude
injury
Levi Smans
Levi Smans
injury
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 3 out
Samir Lagsir
Samir Lagsir
injury
Braydon Manu
Braydon Manu
suspended
Jasper Schendelaar
Jasper Schendelaar
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

SC Heerenveen
3
30%
Draws
3
30%
PEC Zwolle
4
40%
Avg Goals
2.8
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%

Final Words

PEC Zwolle have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.