SC Freiburg vs FC Köln

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.98
60% pred
+9.0%
VALUE
Draw
3.63
24% pred
-3.9%
Away Win
3.60
17% pred
-10.9%
BTTS Yes 1.59 48%
BTTS No 2.30 47% MARGINAL

Key Insights

Rotation Risk

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

High impact

Home Fortress

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (7 wins, 1 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

FC Köln

FC Köln matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

FC Köln

FC Köln has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

FC Köln

FC Köln has Said El Mala ranked #7 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Jan 25 2026 · 16:30
Venue
Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg im Breisgau)
Competition
Bundesliga · 19
Referee
Bastian Dankert Bastian Dankert

Coaches

Julian Schuster

Julian Schuster

SC Freiburg SC Freiburg

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Lukas Kwasniok

Lukas Kwasniok

FC Köln FC Köln

In role since Jul 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
5W 0D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
W H Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-0
W H FC Köln FC Köln 2-1
W H Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0
W H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2-1
5W 0D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
W H Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-0
W H FC Köln FC Köln 2-1
W H Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0
W H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2-1
0W 1D 4L
0.4 GF · 1.8 GA
L A TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 0-3
L A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0-1
L A LOSC Lille LOSC Lille 0-1
D A FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 2-2
L A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-2
2W 0D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1
L A TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 0-3
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-0
L A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0-1
L A LOSC Lille LOSC Lille 0-1
FC Köln FC Köln
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
L A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-3
L A SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-2
D A Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-2
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-2
D A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-1
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
D H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 2-2
L H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-2
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-0
W H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2-1
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-3
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
L A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-3
L A SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-2
D A Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-2
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-2
D A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-1
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D H TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 2-2
L A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-3
L H RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-2
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 1-0
L A SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1-2

Sidelined Players

SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 8 out
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi
suspended
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein
suspended
Manuel Gulde
Manuel Gulde
injury
Lukas Kübler
Lukas Kübler
injury
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart
injury

+3 more

FC Köln FC Köln 8 out
Timo Hübers
Timo Hübers
injury
Alessio Castro-Montes
Alessio Castro-Montes
injury
Jan Thielmann
Jan Thielmann
injury
Luca Kilian
Luca Kilian
injury
Sebastian Sebulonsen
Sebastian Sebulonsen
injury

+3 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

SC Freiburg
6
60%
Draws
2
20%
FC Köln
2
20%
Avg Goals
2.6
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
58%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

FC Köln have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, SC Freiburg have dominated this fixture.