Sassuolo vs Hellas Verona

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.83
48% pred
-6.6%
Draw
3.28
27% pred
-3.0%
Away Win
4.85
24% pred
+3.9%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes 2.04 51%
BTTS No 1.73 49%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona in position 20 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona in position 20 with poor recent form (13% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona without a win in 5 games (1 draws, 4 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Top Scorer

Sassuolo

Sassuolo has Domenico Berardi ranked #10 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

95%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Fri, Feb 20 2026 · 19:45
Venue
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)
Competition
Serie A · 26
Referee
Livio Marinelli Livio Marinelli

Coaches

Fabio Grosso
Fabio Grosso Sassuolo Sassuolo

In role since Jun 2024

Attack Tempo

1.4

Defensive Control

13.2%

Match Shape

25.4%

Sassuolo, in football terms under Fabio Grosso since 2024-06-03, shows a goal for per match of 1.4 and a goal against per match of 1.8 across three seasons, indicating a net defensive vulnerability. The BTTS rate of 64.9% and clean sheets at 13.2% point to frequent open games with limited defensive solidity. Draws stand at 25.4%, suggesting non-dominant results. Given only three seasons, the sample size carries variance and conclusions should be cautious.

Paolo Sammarco
Paolo Sammarco Hellas Verona Hellas Verona

In role since Feb 2026

Attack Tempo

0.9

Defensive Control

19.2%

Match Shape

24.3%

Under Paolo Sammarco, Hellas Verona show a low-scoring profile across three analyzed seasons: 0.9 goals for per match and 1.5 against. BTTS is 51.3%, clean sheets 19.2%, and draws 24.3%. The data suggest a conservative defense with limited goal output and a quarter of matches ending even. With only three seasons, variance is high and the edge of these tendencies remains uncertain.

Recent Form

Sassuolo Sassuolo
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
W H Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-0
L H Inter Inter 0-5
W H Cremonese Cremonese 1-0
L H Juventus Juventus 0-3
D H Parma Parma 1-1
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
W H Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-0
L H Inter Inter 0-5
W H Cremonese Cremonese 1-0
L H Juventus Juventus 0-3
D H Parma Parma 1-1
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Udinese Udinese 2-1
W A Pisa Pisa 3-1
L A Napoli Napoli 0-1
L A Roma Roma 0-2
D A Bologna Bologna 1-1
4W 0D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W H Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-0
W A Udinese Udinese 2-1
L H Inter Inter 0-5
W A Pisa Pisa 3-1
W H Cremonese Cremonese 1-0
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 2.2 GA
L A Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-3
L A Parma Parma 1-2
L A Cagliari Cagliari 0-4
D A Cremonese Cremonese 0-0
D A Napoli Napoli 2-2
0W 1D 4L
0.6 GF · 2 GA
D H Pisa Pisa 0-0
L H Udinese Udinese 1-3
L H Bologna Bologna 2-3
L H Lazio Lazio 0-1
L H Torino Torino 0-3
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 2.2 GA
L A Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-3
L A Parma Parma 1-2
L A Cagliari Cagliari 0-4
D A Cremonese Cremonese 0-0
D A Napoli Napoli 2-2
0W 1D 4L
0.4 GF · 2.4 GA
L A Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-3
L A Parma Parma 1-2
D H Pisa Pisa 0-0
L A Cagliari Cagliari 0-4
L H Udinese Udinese 1-3

Sidelined Players

Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 out
Edoardo Pieragnolo
Edoardo Pieragnolo
injury
Fali Candé
Fali Candé
injury
Daniel Boloca
Daniel Boloca
injury
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 9 out
Rafik Belghali
Rafik Belghali
injury
Tomas Suslov
Tomas Suslov
injury
Pol Lirola
Pol Lirola
injury
Roberto Gagliardini
Roberto Gagliardini
injury
Antoine Bernede
Antoine Bernede
injury

+4 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Sassuolo
7
70%
Draws
0
0%
Hellas Verona
3
30%
Avg Goals
3.3
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Sassuolo host Hellas Verona in Serie A on 2026-02-20 at 19:45 UTC. Verona are in the relegation zone and arrive in a must-win situation after five games without a win, with Sassuolo labeled as the likely home pick with around 48% probability.
Sassuolo Sassuolo

Sassuolo's five-match home form is W-L-W-W-L, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. They have scored 6 and conceded 8, averaging 1.8 points per match.

Hellas Verona Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona's five-match away form is L-D-L-L-D, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. They have scored 2 and conceded 9, averaging 0.4 points per match. There is no recorded head-to-head in this fixture.