Roma vs Cremonese - Serie A Prediction & Analysis

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.32

69% pred

-6.4%

Draw

5.13

20% pred

+0.8%

Away Win

9.77

10% pred

+0.1%

BTTS Yes 2.19 44%

BTTS No 1.64 56%

Key Insights

European Race

Roma in position 4 - competing for Champions League qualification

High impact

Must Win

Cremonese in position 16 with poor recent form (7% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Cremonese without a win in 5 games (1 draws, 4 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sun, Feb 22 2026 · 19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico (Roma)

Competition

Serie A · 26

Referee

Marco Di Bello

Coaches

Gian Piero Gasperini

Roma

In role since Jun 2025

Attack Tempo

1.5

Defensive Control

36.0%

Match Shape

23.7%

Roma, under Gian Piero Gasperini since 2025-06-06, across three seasons shows 1.5 goals for per match and 1.0 against. BTTS occurs in 51.8% of games, clean sheets in 36%, and draws in 23.7%. The data suggests a balanced attacking approach with a modest defensive footprint and a tendency for goals on both sides. Given the three-season sample, there is variance; estimates should be treated with caution.

Davide Nicola

Cremonese

In role since Jul 2025

Attack Tempo

0.9

Defensive Control

15.8%

Match Shape

31.6%

Under Davide Nicola, Cremonese's first-season profile in Serie A (started 2025-07-02) shows 0.9 goals for per match and 1.8 against per match. The 55.3% BTTS and 15.8% clean sheets point to a low-scoring, but often open match pattern, with both teams contributing. Draws at 31.6% reinforce a tendency toward stalemate. Given only one season analyzed, variance is high and the signals should be treated with caution.

Recent Form

Roma

3W 1D 1L

2 GF · 0.8 GA

W H

Cremonese 3-0

W H

Cagliari 2-0

D H

AC Milan 1-1

W H

VfB Stuttgart 2-0

L H Torino

Torino 2-3

3W 1D 1L

2 GF · 0.8 GA

W H

Cremonese 3-0

W H

Cagliari 2-0

D H

AC Milan 1-1

W H

VfB Stuttgart 2-0

L H Torino

Torino 2-3

2W 2D 1L

1.4 GF · 0.8 GA

D A Napoli

Napoli 2-2

L A Udinese

Udinese 0-1

D A

Panathinaikos 1-1

W A Torino

Torino 2-0

W A Lecce

Lecce 2-0

2W 2D 1L

1.6 GF · 0.8 GA

W H

Cremonese 3-0

D A Napoli

Napoli 2-2

W H

Cagliari 2-0

L A Udinese

Udinese 0-1

D A

Panathinaikos 1-1

Cremonese

0W 0D 5L

0.2 GF · 2.4 GA

L A Roma

Roma 0-3

L A

Atalanta 1-2

L A

Sassuolo 0-1

L A

Juventus 0-5

L A

Fiorentina 0-1

0W 3D 2L

0.4 GF · 1.2 GA

D H Genoa

Genoa 0-0

L H Inter

Inter 0-2

D H

Hellas Verona 0-0

D H

Cagliari 2-2

L H Napoli

Napoli 0-2

0W 0D 5L

0.2 GF · 2.4 GA

L A Roma

Roma 0-3

L A

Atalanta 1-2

L A

Sassuolo 0-1

L A

Juventus 0-5

L A

Fiorentina 0-1

0W 1D 4L

0.2 GF · 1.6 GA

L A Roma

Roma 0-3

D H Genoa

Genoa 0-0

L A

Atalanta 1-2

L H Inter

Inter 0-2

L A

Sassuolo 0-1

Sidelined Players

Roma 8 out

Manu Koné

injury

Robinio Vaz

injury

Matías Soulé

injury

Stephan El Shaarawy

injury

Artem Dovbyk

injury

+3 more

Cremonese 4 out

Romano Floriani Mussolini

injury

Federico Baschirotto

injury

Faris Moumbagna

injury

Mikayil Faye

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 6)

Roma

4

67%

Draws

0

0%

Cremonese

2

33%

Avg Goals

2.8

BTTS

67%

League Signals

Predictability

53%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+5%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.7

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

27%

BTTS

54%

Over 2.5

51%

Final Words

Roma host Cremonese in Serie A football on 22 February, with kickoff at 19:45 UTC. The data marks Roma as the top pick and notes rotation risk due to a congested 14-day schedule; Cremonese sit in 16th and face a must-win scenario.

Roma

Roma's form over the last five matches is D-W-L-D-D, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat. They have scored 6 and conceded 5, averaging 1.2 points per match, and sit in fourth place. The dataset notes rotation risk due to a congested schedule and there are no head-to-head results recorded in this dataset.

Cremonese

Cremonese are in 16th place and have five-match form D-L-L-L-D, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. They have scored 1 and conceded 5, averaging 0.4 points per match, and the data notes a must-win scenario.