Roma vs Cagliari

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.46
58% pred
-10.0%
Draw
4.09
24% pred
+0.0%
Away Win
7.36
17% pred
+3.5%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes 2.24 38%
BTTS No 1.61 53%

Match Info

Kickoff
Mon, Feb 9 2026 · 19:45
Venue
Stadio Olimpico (Roma)
Competition
Serie A · 24
Referee
Matteo Marcenaro Matteo Marcenaro

Coaches

Gian Piero Gasperini
Gian Piero Gasperini Roma Roma

In role since Jun 2025

Attack Tempo

1.5

Defensive Control

36.0%

Match Shape

23.7%

Roma, under Gian Piero Gasperini since 2025-06-06, across three seasons shows 1.5 goals for per match and 1.0 against. BTTS occurs in 51.8% of games, clean sheets in 36%, and draws in 23.7%. The data suggests a balanced attacking approach with a modest defensive footprint and a tendency for goals on both sides. Given the three-season sample, there is variance; estimates should be treated with caution.

Fabio Pisacane
Fabio Pisacane Cagliari Cagliari

In role since Jun 2025

Attack Tempo

1.0

Defensive Control

13.2%

Match Shape

28.9%

Under Fabio Pisacane since 2025-06-11, Cagliari's profile over three seasons shows an average of 1 goal scored and 1.7 conceded per match, a high BTTS rate (58.8%) and low clean sheets (13.2%), with draws at 28.9%. The data suggests an open approach with modest attack and defensive vulnerability, producing frequent shared points. Given the three-season sample, these tendencies carry notable variance and should be treated cautiously.

Recent Form

Roma Roma
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Cremonese Cremonese 3-0
W H Cagliari Cagliari 2-0
D H AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-0
L H Torino Torino 2-3
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Cremonese Cremonese 3-0
W H Cagliari Cagliari 2-0
D H AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-0
L H Torino Torino 2-3
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
D A Napoli Napoli 2-2
L A Udinese Udinese 0-1
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1
W A Torino Torino 2-0
W A Lecce Lecce 2-0
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Cremonese Cremonese 3-0
D A Napoli Napoli 2-2
W H Cagliari Cagliari 2-0
L A Udinese Udinese 0-1
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1
Cagliari Cagliari
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L A Roma Roma 0-2
W A Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
L A Genoa Genoa 0-3
D A Cremonese Cremonese 2-2
W A Torino Torino 2-1
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 0.6 GA
D H Lazio Lazio 0-0
L H Lecce Lecce 0-2
W H Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4-0
W H Juventus Juventus 1-0
L H AC Milan AC Milan 0-1
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L A Roma Roma 0-2
W A Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
L A Genoa Genoa 0-3
D A Cremonese Cremonese 2-2
W A Torino Torino 2-1
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
D H Lazio Lazio 0-0
L H Lecce Lecce 0-2
L A Roma Roma 0-2
W H Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4-0
W A Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1

Sidelined Players

Roma Roma 8 out
Manu Koné
Manu Koné
injury
Robinio Vaz
Robinio Vaz
injury
Matías Soulé
Matías Soulé
injury
Stephan El Shaarawy
Stephan El Shaarawy
injury
Artem Dovbyk
Artem Dovbyk
injury

+3 more

Cagliari Cagliari 5 out
Andrea Belotti
Andrea Belotti
injury
Zito Luvumbo
Zito Luvumbo
injury
Alessandro Deiola
Alessandro Deiola
injury
Gianluca Gaetano
Gianluca Gaetano
injury
Mattia Felici
Mattia Felici
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Roma
7
70%
Draws
1
10%
Cagliari
2
20%
Avg Goals
2.7
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Following a narrow defeat to Udinese last time out, Roma take on the Sardinians in Monday’s episode of Serie A as they look to put an end to a two-game winless run. Roma vs. Cagliari kicks off at 19:45 [GMT] on Sunday, February 9, at Stadio Olimpico.
Roma Roma

<p>Roma sit fifth on 43 points, while Cagliari occupy 12th with 28 points. The hosts will be eager to strengthen their push toward European qualification, while the visitors aim to continue their steady climb up the table.</p> <p>Roma come into this contest with strong home form, having secured four victories in their last six matches across all competitions at the Olimpico. Their consistency on home soil has been a major pillar of their campaign, reflected in a broader trend of avoiding defeat in 20 of their last 23 Serie A home fixtures, making the capital a difficult destination for visiting teams.</p> <p>History also leans heavily in Roma’s favor. They have won 56 percent of their Serie A meetings with Cagliari and are unbeaten in their last 10 home clashes against the Sardinian side.</p> <p>Even more telling is Roma’s remarkable ability to start games strongly in this fixture — they have not trailed at halftime in their previous 25 league encounters with Cagliari.</p> <p>Following a 1-0 loss to Udinese last Monday, Roma will be looking to put an end to a two-game winless run [WWWDL].</p> <p>A 4—2—3—1 formation with Donyell Malen in attack is expected against the Sardinians.</p>

Cagliari Cagliari

<p>Cagliari arrive in encouraging form, riding momentum from three consecutive Serie A wins [DLWWW], including a 4-0 win over ten-man Verona. That run leaves the Sardinians in 12th place, two points outside the upper half. It has also injected confidence into the squad and demonstrated their capability to trouble higher-ranked opponents when playing with belief and attacking intent.</p> <p>Recent performances suggest that Cagliari matches tend to be open affairs, particularly away from home. Each of their last six away league games has produced over 2.5 goals, pointing toward an aggressive style that can create chances but also leave defensive gaps.</p> <p>Conceding an average of 1.50 goals on the road highlights this vulnerability. It could be an area Roma looks to exploit.</p> <p>Ultimately, the hosts appear to have the statistical edge, particularly given their formidable record at the Olimpico and long-standing superiority in this matchup.</p> <p>However, Cagliari’s current momentum ensures this is unlikely to be straightforward.</p> <p>A 3-5-2 formation with Sebastiano Esposito and Semih Kılıçsoy in attack may be seen against Roma.</p> <p>Matteo Prati is suspended for this fixture.</p>