Real Sociedad vs Real Oviedo - Serie A Prediction & Analysis

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.54

57% pred

-8.2%

Draw

3.90

26% pred

+0.7%

Away Win

6.61

17% pred

+1.8%

BTTS Yes 2.03 47%

BTTS No 1.74 53%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Real Oviedo in position 20 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

European Race

Real Sociedad in position 10 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Must Win

Real Oviedo in position 20 with poor recent form (13% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Away Struggles

Real Oviedo winless in last 8 away matches (2 draws, 6 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

High Scoring

Real Sociedad involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Real Sociedad matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Real Sociedad has Mikel Oyarzabal ranked #6 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

95%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 13:00

Venue

Anoeta Stadium (San Sebastián)

Competition

La Liga · 25

Referee

José Luis Munuera Montero

Coaches

Pellegrino Matarazzo

Real Sociedad

In role since Dec 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Jorge Guillermo Almada Álves

Real Oviedo

In role since Dec 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Real Sociedad

3W 2D 0L

2.6 GF · 1.6 GA

D H

Real Oviedo 3-3

W H Elche

Elche 3-1

W H

Celta de Vigo 3-1

W H

FC Barcelona 2-1

D H Osasuna

Osasuna 2-2

3W 2D 0L

2.6 GF · 1.6 GA

D H

Real Oviedo 3-3

W H Elche

Elche 3-1

W H

Celta de Vigo 3-1

W H

FC Barcelona 2-1

D H Osasuna

Osasuna 2-2

3W 1D 1L

1.6 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

Real Madrid 1-4

W A

Athletic Club 1-0

W A

Deportivo Alavés 3-2

D A

Athletic Club 1-1

W A Getafe

Getafe 2-1

3W 1D 1L

2.2 GF · 2 GA

D H

Real Oviedo 3-3

L A

Real Madrid 1-4

W A

Athletic Club 1-0

W H Elche

Elche 3-1

W A

Deportivo Alavés 3-2

Real Oviedo

0W 2D 3L

1.2 GF · 2.8 GA

D A

Real Sociedad 3-3

L A

FC Barcelona 0-3

L A Osasuna

Osasuna 2-3

D A

Deportivo Alavés 1-1

L A Sevilla

Sevilla 0-4

1W 3D 1L

0.6 GF · 0.6 GA

L H

Athletic Club 1-2

W H Girona

Girona 1-0

D H

Real Betis 1-1

D H

Celta de Vigo 0-0

D H

Mallorca 0-0

0W 2D 3L

1.2 GF · 2.8 GA

D A

Real Sociedad 3-3

L A

FC Barcelona 0-3

L A Osasuna

Osasuna 2-3

D A

Deportivo Alavés 1-1

L A Sevilla

Sevilla 0-4

1W 1D 3L

1.4 GF · 2.2 GA

D A

Real Sociedad 3-3

L H

Athletic Club 1-2

W H Girona

Girona 1-0

L A

FC Barcelona 0-3

L A Osasuna

Osasuna 2-3

Sidelined Players

Real Sociedad 4 out

Álvaro Odriozola

injury

Gonçalo Guedes

injury

Unai Marrero

injury

Arsen Zakharyan

injury

Real Oviedo 1 out

Ovie Ejaria

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 4)

Real Sociedad

1

25%

Draws

2

50%

Real Oviedo

1

25%

Avg Goals

2.3

BTTS

25%

League Signals

Predictability

50%

LOW

Home Bias

+9%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.6

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

27%

BTTS

51%

Over 2.5

46%

Final Words

La Liga fixture: Real Sociedad host Real Oviedo on 21 February 2026 at 13:00 UTC. The home side show three wins from five with 9 goals for and 8 against, and sit in the European qualification zone. Real Oviedo remain in the relegation zone with a must-win frame and away struggles noted in the dataset.

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad are the home side. In the last five, they have L-W-W-W-D with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 8. The data assigns the home side a top-pick probability near 57.8%, reflecting their recent form.

Real Oviedo

Real Oviedo are the away team. They have five games of form L-W-L-L-D, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 9. There are no head-to-head matches recorded in this dataset; the data highlights away struggles and relegation pressure.