Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Serie A Prediction & Analysis

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.38

60% pred

-12.2%

Draw

5.05

22% pred

+2.4%

Away Win

7.42

18% pred

+4.0%

MARGINAL

BTTS Yes 1.77 42%

BTTS No 2.02 47%

Key Insights

Title Race

Real Madrid leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

European Race

Real Sociedad in position 8 - competing for Conference League qualification

High impact

Rotation Risk

Real Madrid has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Real Sociedad has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Real Sociedad matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Real Madrid has Kylian Mbappé ranked #1 in league scoring (23 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Real Sociedad has Mikel Oyarzabal ranked #9 in league scoring (9 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sat, Feb 14 2026 · 20:00

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)

Competition

La Liga · 24

Referee

Francisco José Hernández Maeso

Coaches

Álvaro Arbeloa Coca

Real Madrid

In role since Jan 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Pellegrino Matarazzo

Real Sociedad

In role since Dec 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Real Madrid

5W 0D 0L

3.8 GF · 0.8 GA

W H

Real Sociedad 4-1

W H

Rayo Vallecano 2-1

W H Monaco

Monaco 6-1

W H Levante

Levante 2-0

W H

Real Betis 5-1

5W 0D 0L

3.8 GF · 0.8 GA

W H

Real Sociedad 4-1

W H

Rayo Vallecano 2-1

W H Monaco

Monaco 6-1

W H Levante

Levante 2-0

W H

Real Betis 5-1

3W 0D 2L

1.6 GF · 1.2 GA

L A Osasuna

Osasuna 1-2

W A Benfica

Benfica 1-0

W A

Valencia 2-0

L A Benfica

Benfica 2-4

W A

Villarreal 2-0

4W 0D 1L

2 GF · 0.8 GA

L A Osasuna

Osasuna 1-2

W A Benfica

Benfica 1-0

W H

Real Sociedad 4-1

W A

Valencia 2-0

W H

Rayo Vallecano 2-1

Real Sociedad

3W 1D 1L

1.6 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

Real Madrid 1-4

W A

Athletic Club 1-0

W A

Deportivo Alavés 3-2

D A

Athletic Club 1-1

W A Getafe

Getafe 2-1

3W 2D 0L

2.6 GF · 1.6 GA

D H

Real Oviedo 3-3

W H Elche

Elche 3-1

W H

Celta de Vigo 3-1

W H

FC Barcelona 2-1

D H Osasuna

Osasuna 2-2

3W 1D 1L

1.6 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

Real Madrid 1-4

W A

Athletic Club 1-0

W A

Deportivo Alavés 3-2

D A

Athletic Club 1-1

W A Getafe

Getafe 2-1

3W 1D 1L

2.2 GF · 2 GA

D H

Real Oviedo 3-3

L A

Real Madrid 1-4

W A

Athletic Club 1-0

W H Elche

Elche 3-1

W A

Deportivo Alavés 3-2

Sidelined Players

Real Madrid 6 out

Jude Bellingham

injury

Dani Ceballos

injury

Éder Militão

injury

Rodrygo

injury

Rodrygo

suspended

+1 more

Real Sociedad 4 out

Álvaro Odriozola

injury

Gonçalo Guedes

injury

Unai Marrero

injury

Arsen Zakharyan

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Real Madrid

7

70%

Draws

2

20%

Real Sociedad

1

10%

Avg Goals

2.7

BTTS

40%

League Signals

Predictability

50%

LOW

Home Bias

+9%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.6

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

27%

BTTS

51%

Over 2.5

46%

Final Words

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad in La Liga takes place on 14 February 2026 at 20:00 UTC. Real Madrid are in second place, one point behind the leader, while Real Sociedad sit eighth and are aiming for European qualification. Real Madrid face rotation risk due to a congested schedule, with four fixtures in 14 days.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid have four wins and one loss from their last five at home, scoring 14 and conceding 6. Head-to-head records show no matches recorded for this fixture. Rotation risk due to the congested schedule could influence selection.

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad have four wins and one draw from five away matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5. They sit eighth in the table and are pursuing European qualification.