Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
1.30
56% pred
-21.3%
Draw
6.04
23% pred
+6.3%
VALUE
Away Win
8.33
22% pred
+9.5%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.54
50%
BTTS No
2.41
45%
MARGINAL
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
8.33
+9.5% edge
22% probability
Expected value: +0.79 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
66%
Key Insights
European Race
Real Madrid in position 7 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactRotation Risk
Real Madrid has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactMust Win
Monaco in position 19 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 55.6% home win vs 76.9% market consensus - lower probability, 21.3% gap
Medium impactMatch Normality
70%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Tue, Jan 20 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
(Madrid)
Competition
Champions League
·
League Stage
, 7
Referee
Espen Eskås
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Real Madrid
5W 0D 0L
3.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Real Sociedad
4-1
Real Sociedad
4-1
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
W
H
Monaco
6-1
Monaco
6-1
W
H
Levante
2-0
Levante
2-0
W
H
Real Betis
5-1
Real Betis
5-1
5W 0D 0L
3.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Real Sociedad
4-1
Real Sociedad
4-1
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
W
H
Monaco
6-1
Monaco
6-1
W
H
Levante
2-0
Levante
2-0
W
H
Real Betis
5-1
Real Betis
5-1
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Osasuna
1-2
Osasuna
1-2
W
A
Benfica
1-0
Benfica
1-0
W
A
Valencia
2-0
Valencia
2-0
L
A
Benfica
2-4
Benfica
2-4
W
A
Villarreal
2-0
Villarreal
2-0
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
L
A
Osasuna
1-2
Osasuna
1-2
W
A
Benfica
1-0
Benfica
1-0
W
H
Real Sociedad
4-1
Real Sociedad
4-1
W
A
Valencia
2-0
Valencia
2-0
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Monaco
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
Lens
3-2
Lens
3-2
D
A
Nice
0-0
Nice
0-0
D
A
Le Havre
0-0
Le Havre
0-0
L
A
Real Madrid
1-6
Real Madrid
1-6
L
A
Olympique Marseille
0-1
Olympique Marseille
0-1
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
W
H
Nantes
3-1
Nantes
3-1
W
H
Rennes
4-0
Rennes
4-0
D
H
Juventus
0-0
Juventus
0-0
L
H
Lorient
1-3
Lorient
1-3
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
Lens
3-2
Lens
3-2
D
A
Nice
0-0
Nice
0-0
D
A
Le Havre
0-0
Le Havre
0-0
L
A
Real Madrid
1-6
Real Madrid
1-6
L
A
Olympique Marseille
0-1
Olympique Marseille
0-1
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W
A
Lens
3-2
Lens
3-2
L
H
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
W
H
Nantes
3-1
Nantes
3-1
D
A
Nice
0-0
Nice
0-0
W
H
Rennes
4-0
Rennes
4-0
Sidelined Players
Real Madrid
6 out
Jude Bellingham
injury
Dani Ceballos
injury
Éder Militão
injury
Rodrygo
injury
Rodrygo
suspended
+1 more
Monaco
17 out
Christian Mawissa
injury
Lukas Hradecky
injury
Mamadou Coulibaly
suspended
Takumi Minamino
suspended
Mohammed Salisu
suspended
+12 more
Head-to-Head (Last 3)
Real Madrid
2
67%
Draws
0
0%
Monaco
1
33%
Avg Goals
5.7
BTTS
100%
League Signals
Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%
Final Words
Real Madrid enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
