Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
1.15
66% pred
-21.3%
Draw
8.69
19% pred
+7.5%
VALUE
Away Win
14.85
15% pred
+8.6%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.84
43%
BTTS No
1.92
52%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
14.85
+8.6% edge
15% probability
Expected value: +1.28 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
63%
Key Insights
Title Race
Real Madrid in position 2, 1 point behind leader - competing for title
High impactRelegation Zone
Levante in position 19 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactMust Win
Levante in position 19 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 65.7% home win vs 87.0% market consensus - lower probability, 21.3% gap
Medium impactMatch Normality
75%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026
·
13:00
Venue
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
(Madrid)
Competition
La Liga
·
20
Referee
Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Real Madrid
5W 0D 0L
3.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Real Sociedad
4-1
Real Sociedad
4-1
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
W
H
Monaco
6-1
Monaco
6-1
W
H
Levante
2-0
Levante
2-0
W
H
Real Betis
5-1
Real Betis
5-1
5W 0D 0L
3.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Real Sociedad
4-1
Real Sociedad
4-1
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
W
H
Monaco
6-1
Monaco
6-1
W
H
Levante
2-0
Levante
2-0
W
H
Real Betis
5-1
Real Betis
5-1
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Osasuna
1-2
Osasuna
1-2
W
A
Benfica
1-0
Benfica
1-0
W
A
Valencia
2-0
Valencia
2-0
L
A
Benfica
2-4
Benfica
2-4
W
A
Villarreal
2-0
Villarreal
2-0
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
L
A
Osasuna
1-2
Osasuna
1-2
W
A
Benfica
1-0
Benfica
1-0
W
H
Real Sociedad
4-1
Real Sociedad
4-1
W
A
Valencia
2-0
Valencia
2-0
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Levante
1W 0D 4L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
A
FC Barcelona
0-3
FC Barcelona
0-3
L
A
Athletic Club
2-4
Athletic Club
2-4
L
A
Real Madrid
0-2
Real Madrid
0-2
W
A
Sevilla
3-0
Sevilla
3-0
L
A
Cultural Leonesa
0-1
Cultural Leonesa
0-1
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
L
H
Villarreal
0-1
Villarreal
0-1
L
H
Valencia
0-2
Valencia
0-2
D
H
Atlético Madrid
0-0
Atlético Madrid
0-0
W
H
Elche
3-2
Elche
3-2
D
H
Espanyol
1-1
Espanyol
1-1
1W 0D 4L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
A
FC Barcelona
0-3
FC Barcelona
0-3
L
A
Athletic Club
2-4
Athletic Club
2-4
L
A
Real Madrid
0-2
Real Madrid
0-2
W
A
Sevilla
3-0
Sevilla
3-0
L
A
Cultural Leonesa
0-1
Cultural Leonesa
0-1
0W 1D 4L
0.4 GF · 2 GA
L
A
FC Barcelona
0-3
FC Barcelona
0-3
L
H
Villarreal
0-1
Villarreal
0-1
L
H
Valencia
0-2
Valencia
0-2
L
A
Athletic Club
2-4
Athletic Club
2-4
D
H
Atlético Madrid
0-0
Atlético Madrid
0-0
Sidelined Players
Real Madrid
5 out
Jude Bellingham
injury
Dani Ceballos
injury
Éder Militão
injury
Rodrygo
injury
Dean Huijsen
injury
Levante
2 out
Roger Brugué
injury
Unai Elgezabal
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Real Madrid
6
60%
Draws
1
10%
Levante
3
30%
Avg Goals
3.6
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
50%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
46%
Final Words
Real Madrid enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Levante have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5.
