RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.54
54% pred
-10.9%
Draw
4.49
23% pred
+1.2%
Away Win
5.34
22% pred
+3.8%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes 1.57 46%
BTTS No 2.34 42%

Key Insights

European Race

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig in position 4 - competing for Champions League qualification

High impact

Away Struggles

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 winless in last 8 away matches (3 draws, 5 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig has Yan Diomande ranked #7 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 31 2026 · 14:30
Venue
Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)
Competition
Bundesliga · 20
Referee
Daniel Schlager Daniel Schlager

Coaches

Ole Werner

Ole Werner

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig

In role since Jul 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Urs Fischer

Urs Fischer

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05

In role since Dec 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
1W 2D 2L
1.6 GF · 2.2 GA
D H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-2
D H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 2-2
L H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-2
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-5
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 2-0
1W 2D 2L
1.6 GF · 2.2 GA
D H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-2
D H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 2-2
L H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-2
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-5
W H SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 2-0
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W A FC Köln FC Köln 2-1
D A St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1
W A Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-0
L A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 1-3
D A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
D H Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-2
D H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 2-2
W A FC Köln FC Köln 2-1
L H FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1-2
D A St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 2.2 GA
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-4
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1
L A FC Köln FC Köln 1-2
D A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 2-2
D A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 2-2
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
D H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 1-1
W H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 2-0
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 3-1
W H Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1
D H St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-0
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 2.2 GA
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-4
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1
L A FC Köln FC Köln 1-2
D A FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 2-2
D A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 2-2
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 1-1
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-4
W H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 2-0
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1
W H VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 3-1

Sidelined Players

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 8 out
Kevin Kampl
Kevin Kampl
injury
Assan Ouédraogo
Assan Ouédraogo
injury
Péter Gulácsi
Péter Gulácsi
injury
Xaver Schlager
Xaver Schlager
injury
Viggo Gebel
Viggo Gebel
injury

+3 more

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 out
William Bøving
William Bøving
injury
Sota Kawasaki
Sota Kawasaki
injury
Benedict Hollerbach
Benedict Hollerbach
injury
Dominic van Hoof
Dominic van Hoof
injury
Robin Zentner
Robin Zentner
injury

+2 more

Head-to-Head

No previous meetings found

League Signals

Predictability
58%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

RB Leipzig have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches.