Parma vs Juventus

Value Assessment

Home Win
8.38
17% pred
+4.9%
MARGINAL
Draw
4.50
24% pred
+2.0%
Away Win
1.40
59% pred
-12.5%
BTTS Yes 2.25 35%
BTTS No 1.61 56%

Key Insights

European Race

Juventus

Juventus in position 5 - competing for Europa League qualification

High impact

Rotation Risk

Juventus

Juventus has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Away Specialist

Juventus

Juventus exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

Defensive Fortress

Juventus

Juventus has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Juventus

Juventus has Kenan Yıldız ranked #3 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 19:45
Venue
Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)
Competition
Serie A · 23
Referee
Francesco Fourneau Francesco Fourneau

Coaches

Carlos Antón Cuesta
Carlos Antón Cuesta Parma Parma

In role since Jul 2025

Attack Tempo

1.2

Defensive Control

15.8%

Match Shape

28.9%

Parma, under manager Carlos Antón Cuesta since 2025-07-01, shows an open profile across three seasons: 1.2 goals for per match vs. 1.7 against; BTTS 65.8%; clean sheets 15.8%; draws 28.9%. The pattern suggests frequent goals on both sides and limited defensive solidity, with high variance in results. With only three seasons, these signals carry uncertainty and should be treated cautiously.

Luciano Spalletti
Luciano Spalletti Juventus Juventus

In role since Oct 2025

Attack Tempo

1.5

Defensive Control

47.4%

Match Shape

31.6%

Juventus under Luciano Spalletti shows a compact defensive baseline, conceding 0.9 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 47.4% of matches. Attacking output sits at 1.5 per game, suggesting measured threat rather than high-volume production. With a 31.6% draw rate and 41.2% BTTS, the balance tilts toward disciplined structure with occasional fragility in open play. Given three seasons, results carry variance and require cautious interpretation.

Recent Form

Parma Parma
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W H Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1
L H Juventus Juventus 1-4
D H Genoa Genoa 0-0
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W H Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1
L H Juventus Juventus 1-4
D H Genoa Genoa 0-0
L H Inter Inter 0-2
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0
3W 1D 1L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
W A AC Milan AC Milan 1-0
W A Bologna Bologna 1-0
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-4
D A Napoli Napoli 0-0
W A Lecce Lecce 2-1
3W 0D 2L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
W A AC Milan AC Milan 1-0
W H Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1
W A Bologna Bologna 1-0
L H Juventus Juventus 1-4
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-4
Juventus Juventus
1W 1D 3L
1.6 GF · 2.4 GA
L A Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-5
L A Inter Inter 2-3
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-3
W A Parma Parma 4-1
D A Monaco Monaco 0-0
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 0.8 GA
L H Como Como 0-2
D H Lazio Lazio 2-2
W H Napoli Napoli 3-0
W H Benfica Benfica 2-0
W H Cremonese Cremonese 5-0
1W 1D 3L
1.6 GF · 2.4 GA
L A Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-5
L A Inter Inter 2-3
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-3
W A Parma Parma 4-1
D A Monaco Monaco 0-0
0W 1D 4L
1.2 GF · 3 GA
L H Como Como 0-2
L A Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-5
L A Inter Inter 2-3
D H Lazio Lazio 2-2
L A Atalanta Atalanta 0-3

Sidelined Players

Parma Parma 4 out
Lautaro Valenti
Lautaro Valenti
injury
Pontus Almqvist
Pontus Almqvist
injury
Vicente Guaita
Vicente Guaita
injury
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
injury
Juventus Juventus 4 out
Emil Holm
Emil Holm
injury
Andrea Cambiaso
Andrea Cambiaso
suspended
Juan Cabal
Juan Cabal
suspended
Bremer
Bremer
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Parma
1
10%
Draws
2
20%
Juventus
7
70%
Avg Goals
3.3
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Parma vs. Juventus kicks off at 19:45 [GMT] on Sunday, February 1, at the Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Parma Parma

<p>Parma sit 13th in the table with 23 points, and remain firmly involved in the fight to secure top-flight status after promotion. They have avoided defeat in three of their last six football matches, while three consecutive draws highlight their difficulty converting performances into victories.</p> <p>The main issue for the home side is attacking output. Parma have failed to score in each of their last three football matches in Serie A and average just 0.64 goals per game at home, one of the lowest figures in the division.</p> <p>Their home form is reflected in results at the Tardini, where they have won only once in the last nine league games. Matches at home have tended to be tight and low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals recorded in each of their last five home football fixtures in Serie A.</p> <p>This cautious approach leaves little margin for error against higher-quality opposition.</p> <p>An unlikely victory could see them climb further away from their current 15th place.</p> <p>A 3-5-2 formation with Nahuel Estévez and Adrian Benedyczak in attack is expected against the Old Lady.</p>

Juventus Juventus

<p>Juventus arrive in much stronger shape and with far greater ambitions following a goalless draw with Monaco in the UEFA Champions League. With the point, the Old Lady failed to secure automatic qualification for the knockout phase and will have to face Galatasaray in the playoff qualifying round.</p> <p>Sitting 5th in the standings with 42 points, the Bianconeri [DWWLW] are firmly in the race for Champions League qualification.</p> <p>Four wins in their last six matches underline an upturn in form. Confidence within the squad appears to be growing.</p> <p>Juventus have also enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture historically, with Parma losing 67% of their recent Serie A meetings against the Turin giants.</p> <p>From a tactical standpoint, Juventus are likely to dominate possession and territory, testing Parma’s defensive organisation from the outset.</p> <p>Overall, this fixture shapes up as a test of Parma’s resilience against Juventus’ growing momentum.</p> <p>If Parma are to claim anything, it will likely require a disciplined defensive performance and a rare attacking spark. In football terms, Juventus will expect to leave Parma with maximum points, even if the contest unfolds in a relatively low-scoring manner.</p> <p>A 4—2—3—1 with Jonathan David in attack is expected against Parma.</p>