Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Marseille

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.43
48% pred
-21.7%
Draw
4.96
24% pred
+4.2%
MARGINAL
Away Win
6.13
27% pred
+11.1%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 1.56 49%
BTTS No 2.34 39%

Key Insights

Title Race

Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Top Scorer

Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain has Ousmane Dembélé ranked #8 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Olympique Marseille

Olympique Marseille has Mason Greenwood ranked #1 in league scoring (13 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 48.2% home win vs 69.9% market consensus - lower probability, 21.7% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 8 2026 · 19:45
Venue
Parc des Princes (Paris)
Competition
Ligue 1 · 21
Referee
Willy Delajod Willy Delajod

Coaches

Luis Enrique Martínez García

Luis Enrique Martínez García

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain

In role since Jul 2023

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Habib Beye

Habib Beye

Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille

In role since Feb 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.4 GA
W H Metz Metz 3-0
W H Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 5-0
D H Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-1
W H LOSC Lille LOSC Lille 3-0
W H Paris Paris 2-1
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.4 GA
W H Metz Metz 3-0
W H Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 5-0
D H Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-1
W H LOSC Lille LOSC Lille 3-0
W H Paris Paris 2-1
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Monaco Monaco 3-2
L A Rennes Rennes 1-3
W A Strasbourg Strasbourg 2-1
W A Auxerre Auxerre 1-0
L A Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-2
4W 0D 1L
2.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Metz Metz 3-0
W A Monaco Monaco 3-2
L A Rennes Rennes 1-3
W H Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 5-0
W A Strasbourg Strasbourg 2-1
Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille
1W 1D 3L
1.4 GF · 2.8 GA
L A Brest Brest 0-2
L A Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0-5
D A Paris Paris 2-2
L A Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-3
W A Angers SCO Angers SCO 5-2
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D H Strasbourg Strasbourg 2-2
W H Lens Lens 3-1
L H Liverpool Liverpool 0-3
L H Nantes Nantes 0-2
W H Monaco Monaco 1-0
1W 1D 3L
1.4 GF · 2.8 GA
L A Brest Brest 0-2
L A Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0-5
D A Paris Paris 2-2
L A Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-3
W A Angers SCO Angers SCO 5-2
0W 2D 3L
0.8 GF · 2.8 GA
L A Brest Brest 0-2
D H Strasbourg Strasbourg 2-2
L A Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0-5
D A Paris Paris 2-2
L A Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-3

Sidelined Players

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4 out
Quentin Ndjantou
Quentin Ndjantou
injury
Fabián Ruiz
Fabián Ruiz
injury
Senny Mayulu
Senny Mayulu
injury
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé
injury
Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 3 out
Chancel Mbemba
Chancel Mbemba
suspension
Leonardo Balerdi
Leonardo Balerdi
injury
Amine Harit
Amine Harit
injury

Head-to-Head

No previous meetings found

League Signals

Predictability
52%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.8
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
54%

Final Words

Paris Saint Germain enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Olympique Marseille have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5.