Paris Saint Germain vs Newcastle United

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.55
58% pred
-6.9%
Draw
4.72
22% pred
+0.5%
Away Win
4.95
21% pred
+0.5%
BTTS Yes 1.46 43%
BTTS No 2.64 46% VALUE

Key Insights

European Race

Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain in position 6 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

European Race

Newcastle United

Newcastle United in position 7 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Newcastle United

Newcastle United has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

High impact

Top Scorer

Newcastle United

Newcastle United has Anthony Gordon ranked #3 in league scoring (6 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 43.4% BTTS vs 68.5% market consensus - lower probability, 25.1% gap

High impact

Match Normality

55%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Jan 28 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Parc des Princes (Paris)
Competition
Champions League · League Stage , 8
Referee
Slavko Vinčić Slavko Vinčić

Coaches

Luis Enrique Martínez García

Luis Enrique Martínez García

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain

In role since Jul 2023

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Eddie Howe

Eddie Howe

Newcastle United Newcastle United

In role since Nov 2021

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
3W 2D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.6 GA
D H Monaco Monaco 2-2
W H Metz Metz 3-0
W H Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 5-0
D H Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-1
W H LOSC Lille LOSC Lille 3-0
3W 2D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.6 GA
D H Monaco Monaco 2-2
W H Metz Metz 3-0
W H Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 5-0
D H Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-1
W H LOSC Lille LOSC Lille 3-0
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Monaco Monaco 3-2
L A Rennes Rennes 1-3
W A Strasbourg Strasbourg 2-1
W A Auxerre Auxerre 1-0
L A Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-2
3W 1D 1L
2.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D H Monaco Monaco 2-2
W H Metz Metz 3-0
W A Monaco Monaco 3-2
L A Rennes Rennes 1-3
W H Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 5-0
Newcastle United Newcastle United
3W 0D 2L
2.6 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
W A Qarabağ Qarabağ 6-1
W A Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-1
W A Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 2-1
L A Manchester City Manchester City 1-3
2W 0D 3L
1.6 GF · 1.8 GA
W H Qarabağ Qarabağ 3-2
L H Brentford Brentford 2-3
L H Aston Villa Aston Villa 0-2
W H PSV PSV 3-0
L H Manchester City Manchester City 0-2
3W 0D 2L
2.6 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
W A Qarabağ Qarabağ 6-1
W A Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-1
W A Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 2-1
L A Manchester City Manchester City 1-3
4W 0D 1L
3 GF · 1.4 GA
W H Qarabağ Qarabağ 3-2
L A Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
W A Qarabağ Qarabağ 6-1
W A Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-1
W A Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur 2-1

Sidelined Players

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4 out
Quentin Ndjantou
Quentin Ndjantou
injury
Fabián Ruiz
Fabián Ruiz
injury
Senny Mayulu
Senny Mayulu
injury
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé
injury
Newcastle United Newcastle United 4 out
Fabian Schär
Fabian Schär
injury
Sven Botman
Sven Botman
injury
Tino Livramento
Tino Livramento
injury
Lewis Miley
Lewis Miley
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 3)

Paris Saint Germain
0
0%
Draws
2
67%
Newcastle United
1
33%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
100%

League Signals

Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%

Final Words

Newcastle United arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors Newcastle United in recent meetings.