Paris Saint Germain vs Metz

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.13
78% pred
-10.3%
Draw
9.05
16% pred
+4.5%
MARGINAL
Away Win
16.44
6% pred
+0.2%
BTTS Yes 1.99 44%
BTTS No 1.77 56%

Key Insights

Title Race

Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Relegation Zone

Metz

Metz in position 18 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Rotation Risk

Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Metz

Metz in position 18 with poor recent form (7% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Metz

Metz without a win in 5 games (1 draws, 4 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Home Fortress

Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (7 wins, 1 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

High Scoring

Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain has Ousmane Dembélé ranked #7 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 20:05
Venue
Parc des Princes (Paris)
Competition
Ligue 1 · 23
Referee
A. Kherradji A. Kherradji

Coaches

Luis Enrique Martínez García

Luis Enrique Martínez García

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain

In role since Jul 2023

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Benoit Tavenot

Benoit Tavenot

Metz Metz

In role since Jan 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.4 GA
W H Metz Metz 3-0
W H Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 5-0
D H Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-1
W H LOSC Lille LOSC Lille 3-0
W H Paris Paris 2-1
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.4 GA
W H Metz Metz 3-0
W H Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 5-0
D H Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-1
W H LOSC Lille LOSC Lille 3-0
W H Paris Paris 2-1
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Monaco Monaco 3-2
L A Rennes Rennes 1-3
W A Strasbourg Strasbourg 2-1
W A Auxerre Auxerre 1-0
L A Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-2
4W 0D 1L
2.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Metz Metz 3-0
W A Monaco Monaco 3-2
L A Rennes Rennes 1-3
W H Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 5-0
W A Strasbourg Strasbourg 2-1
Metz Metz
0W 1D 4L
0.6 GF · 2 GA
L A Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0-3
L A Angers SCO Angers SCO 0-1
L A Strasbourg Strasbourg 1-2
D A Lorient Lorient 1-1
L A Auxerre Auxerre 1-3
0W 1D 4L
1 GF · 2.4 GA
L H Auxerre Auxerre 1-3
D H LOSC Lille LOSC Lille 0-0
L H Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais 2-5
L H Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 2-3
L H Rennes Rennes 0-1
0W 1D 4L
0.6 GF · 2 GA
L A Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0-3
L A Angers SCO Angers SCO 0-1
L A Strasbourg Strasbourg 1-2
D A Lorient Lorient 1-1
L A Auxerre Auxerre 1-3
0W 1D 4L
0.6 GF · 2.4 GA
L A Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0-3
L H Auxerre Auxerre 1-3
D H LOSC Lille LOSC Lille 0-0
L A Angers SCO Angers SCO 0-1
L H Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais 2-5

Sidelined Players

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4 out
Quentin Ndjantou
Quentin Ndjantou
injury
Fabián Ruiz
Fabián Ruiz
injury
Senny Mayulu
Senny Mayulu
injury
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé
injury
Metz Metz 4 out
Pape Sy
Pape Sy
injury
Joseph Mangondo
Joseph Mangondo
injury
Benjamin Stambouli
Benjamin Stambouli
injury
Joel Asoro
Joel Asoro
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Paris Saint Germain
10
100%
Draws
0
0%
Metz
0
0%
Avg Goals
3.4
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
52%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.8
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
54%

Final Words

In Ligue 1, Paris Saint Germain host Metz on 2026-02-21 at 20:05 UTC. PSG sit near the title race, positioned second, one point behind the leader, while Metz occupy the relegation zone. The fixture carries rotation risk for PSG amid a congested 14-day schedule.
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain host Metz in Ligue 1. Five-game home form reads W-L-W-W-D, with 12 goals for and 7 against. In the sole head-to-head, PSG won.

Metz Metz

Metz travel to Paris for the away leg in Ligue 1. Five-game away form reads L-D-L-L-L, with 4 goals for and 11 against. Metz sit 18th in the table, in the relegation zone.