Palermo vs Südtirol

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.55
56% pred
-8.9%
Draw
4.03
27% pred
+2.0%
Away Win
7.15
17% pred
+3.5%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes 1.96 47%
BTTS No 1.78 53%

Key Insights

Streak Watch

Palermo

Palermo unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Home Fortress

Palermo

Palermo unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (8 wins, 0 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

Defensive Fortress

Palermo

Palermo has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Palermo

Palermo has Joel Pohjanpalo ranked #1 in league scoring (17 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.17 (Betfair) to 1.80 (10Bet) - 29.9% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on draw: 3.25 (888Sport) to 6.50 (Betfair) - 15.4% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

Medium impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on away win: 4.29 (Sbo) to 17.00 (Betfair) - 17.4% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

Medium impact

Match Normality

55%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 14:00
Venue
Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)
Competition
Serie B · 26
Referee
Valerio Crezzini Valerio Crezzini

Coaches

Filippo Inzaghi

Filippo Inzaghi

Palermo Palermo

In role since Jun 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Fabrizio Castori

Fabrizio Castori

Südtirol Südtirol

In role since Dec 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Palermo Palermo
5W 0D 0L
2.2 GF · 0.4 GA
W H Südtirol Südtirol 3-0
W H Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 3-0
W H Empoli Empoli 3-2
W H Spezia Spezia 1-0
W H Calcio Padova Calcio Padova 1-0
5W 0D 0L
2.2 GF · 0.4 GA
W H Südtirol Südtirol 3-0
W H Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 3-0
W H Empoli Empoli 3-2
W H Spezia Spezia 1-0
W H Calcio Padova Calcio Padova 1-0
1W 4D 0L
1.8 GF · 1.2 GA
D A Sampdoria Sampdoria 3-3
W A Bari 1908 Bari 1908 3-0
D A Modena Modena 0-0
D A Mantova Mantova 1-1
D A Avellino Avellino 2-2
4W 1D 0L
3 GF · 1 GA
W H Südtirol Südtirol 3-0
W H Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 3-0
D A Sampdoria Sampdoria 3-3
W H Empoli Empoli 3-2
W A Bari 1908 Bari 1908 3-0
Südtirol Südtirol
2W 1D 2L
0.6 GF · 1 GA
L A Palermo Palermo 0-3
W A Bari 1908 Bari 1908 2-1
D A Carrarese Carrarese 0-0
W A Empoli Empoli 1-0
L A Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-1
3W 2D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.4 GA
D H Monza Monza 0-0
W H Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-1
W H Calcio Padova Calcio Padova 3-0
W H Spezia Spezia 2-1
D H Bari 1908 Bari 1908 0-0
2W 1D 2L
0.6 GF · 1 GA
L A Palermo Palermo 0-3
W A Bari 1908 Bari 1908 2-1
D A Carrarese Carrarese 0-0
W A Empoli Empoli 1-0
L A Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-1
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
L A Palermo Palermo 0-3
W A Bari 1908 Bari 1908 2-1
D H Monza Monza 0-0
D A Carrarese Carrarese 0-0
W H Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-1

Sidelined Players

Palermo Palermo 0 out

No reported absences

Südtirol Südtirol 3 out
Jacopo Martini
Jacopo Martini
injury
Filipe Bordon
Filipe Bordon
suspended
Simone Davi
Simone Davi
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 8)

Palermo
5
63%
Draws
1
13%
Südtirol
2
25%
Avg Goals
2.4
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
52%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.4
LOW
Draw Rate
32%
BTTS
52%
Over 2.5
44%

Final Words

Palermo enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Historically, Palermo have dominated this fixture.