Osasuna vs Real Madrid

Value Assessment

Home Win
4.78
23% pred
+2.1%
Draw
3.90
25% pred
-0.3%
Away Win
1.68
52% pred
-7.9%
BTTS Yes 1.65 58%
BTTS No 2.18 42%

Key Insights

Title Race

Real Madrid

Real Madrid leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

European Race

Osasuna

Osasuna in position 9 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Real Madrid

Real Madrid has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Osasuna

Osasuna unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Away Specialist

Real Madrid

Real Madrid exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Osasuna

Osasuna matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Osasuna

Osasuna has Ante Budimir ranked #4 in league scoring (12 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Real Madrid

Real Madrid has Kylian Mbappé ranked #1 in league scoring (23 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 17:30
Venue
Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona)
Competition
La Liga · 25
Referee
Alejandro Quintero González Alejandro Quintero González

Coaches

Alessio Lisci

Alessio Lisci

Osasuna Osasuna

In role since Jul 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Álvaro Arbeloa Coca

Álvaro Arbeloa Coca

Real Madrid Real Madrid

In role since Jan 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Osasuna Osasuna
3W 2D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-1
D H Villarreal Villarreal 2-2
W H Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-2
D H Athletic Club Athletic Club 1-1
W H Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés 3-0
3W 2D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-1
D H Villarreal Villarreal 2-2
W H Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-2
D H Athletic Club Athletic Club 1-1
W H Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés 3-0
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
D A Elche Elche 0-0
W A Celta de Vigo Celta de Vigo 2-1
W A Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 3-1
D A Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-2
L A Girona Girona 0-1
3W 2D 0L
1.8 GF · 1 GA
W H Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-1
D A Elche Elche 0-0
W A Celta de Vigo Celta de Vigo 2-1
D H Villarreal Villarreal 2-2
W A Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 3-1
Real Madrid Real Madrid
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Osasuna Osasuna 1-2
W A Benfica Benfica 1-0
W A Valencia Valencia 2-0
L A Benfica Benfica 2-4
W A Villarreal Villarreal 2-0
5W 0D 0L
3.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4-1
W H Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-1
W H Monaco Monaco 6-1
W H Levante Levante 2-0
W H Real Betis Real Betis 5-1
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Osasuna Osasuna 1-2
W A Benfica Benfica 1-0
W A Valencia Valencia 2-0
L A Benfica Benfica 2-4
W A Villarreal Villarreal 2-0
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
L A Osasuna Osasuna 1-2
W A Benfica Benfica 1-0
W H Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4-1
W A Valencia Valencia 2-0
W H Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-1

Sidelined Players

Osasuna Osasuna 2 out
Iker Benito
Iker Benito
injury
Enzo Boyomo
Enzo Boyomo
injury
Real Madrid Real Madrid 6 out
Jude Bellingham
Jude Bellingham
injury
Dani Ceballos
Dani Ceballos
injury
Éder Militão 
Éder Militão 
injury
Rodrygo
Rodrygo
injury
Rodrygo
Rodrygo
suspended

+1 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Osasuna
1
10%
Draws
2
20%
Real Madrid
7
70%
Avg Goals
3.1
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
50%
LOW
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
46%

Final Words

Osasuna host Real Madrid in La Liga. Real Madrid are indicated as the more likely side with an edge around 51% in favor, a rotation risk due to a congested 14-day schedule, and a BTTS tendency signal in the data. Osasuna sit around 10th in the table, competing for European qualification, and there are no prior head-to-head matches on record in this dataset.
Osasuna Osasuna

Osasuna's recent home form over five matches reads D-W-D-W-W. They have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats, scoring 10 goals and conceding 6. The sample yields 2.2 points per game.

Real Madrid Real Madrid

Real Madrid's away form over five matches reads W-W-W-W-L. They have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 11 goals and conceding 6. The sample yields 2.4 points per game.