Olympique Marseille vs Liverpool

Value Assessment

Home Win
3.72
39% pred
+12.6%
VALUE
Draw
3.84
24% pred
-1.7%
Away Win
1.91
36% pred
-16.1%
BTTS Yes 1.51 52%
BTTS No 2.52 42%

Key Insights

European Race

Liverpool

Liverpool in position 4 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Olympique Marseille

Olympique Marseille has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Liverpool

Liverpool has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Olympique Marseille

Olympique Marseille in position 19 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Liverpool

Liverpool unbeaten in 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Jan 21 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)
Competition
Champions League · League Stage , 7
Referee
Slavko Vinčić Slavko Vinčić

Coaches

Habib Beye

Habib Beye

Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille

In role since Feb 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Arne Slot

Arne Slot

Liverpool Liverpool

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D H Strasbourg Strasbourg 2-2
W H Lens Lens 3-1
L H Liverpool Liverpool 0-3
L H Nantes Nantes 0-2
W H Monaco Monaco 1-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D H Strasbourg Strasbourg 2-2
W H Lens Lens 3-1
L H Liverpool Liverpool 0-3
L H Nantes Nantes 0-2
W H Monaco Monaco 1-0
1W 1D 3L
1.4 GF · 2.8 GA
L A Brest Brest 0-2
L A Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0-5
D A Paris Paris 2-2
L A Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-3
W A Angers SCO Angers SCO 5-2
0W 2D 3L
0.8 GF · 2.8 GA
L A Brest Brest 0-2
D H Strasbourg Strasbourg 2-2
L A Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0-5
D A Paris Paris 2-2
L A Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-3
Liverpool Liverpool
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0
W A Sunderland Sunderland 1-0
L A AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth 2-3
W A Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 3-0
D A Arsenal Arsenal 0-0
3W 1D 1L
3 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0
L H Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
W H Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-1
W H Qarabağ Qarabağ 6-0
D H Burnley Burnley 1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0
W A Sunderland Sunderland 1-0
L A AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth 2-3
W A Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 3-0
D A Arsenal Arsenal 0-0
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0
W H Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0
W A Sunderland Sunderland 1-0
L H Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
W H Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-1

Sidelined Players

Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 3 out
Chancel Mbemba
Chancel Mbemba
suspension
Leonardo Balerdi
Leonardo Balerdi
injury
Amine Harit
Amine Harit
injury
Liverpool Liverpool 8 out
Florian Wirtz
Florian Wirtz
injury
Stefan Bajcetic
Stefan Bajcetic
suspended
Harvey Davies
Harvey Davies
suspended
Alexander Isak
Alexander Isak
injury
Giovanni Leoni
Giovanni Leoni
injury

+3 more

Head-to-Head (Last 7)

Olympique Marseille
2
29%
Draws
1
14%
Liverpool
4
57%
Avg Goals
2.4
BTTS
43%

League Signals

Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%

Final Words

Olympique Marseille have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. Liverpool arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games.