Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
1.59
36% pred
-27.4%
Draw
3.89
25% pred
-0.3%
Away Win
5.74
39% pred
+21.7%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.94
41%
BTTS No
1.81
49%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
5.74
+21.7% edge
39% probability
Expected value: +1.24 units per bet
Confidence
Low
56%
Key Insights
BTTS Tendency
Ferencvárosi matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactTop Scorer
Nottingham Forest has Igor Jesus ranked #2 in league scoring (6 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 35.5% home win vs 62.9% market consensus - lower probability, 27.4% gap
High impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 39.1% away win vs 17.4% market consensus - higher probability, 21.7% gap
Medium impactMatch Normality
85%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Thu, Jan 29 2026
·
20:00
Venue
The City Ground
(Nottingham)
Competition
Europa League
·
League Stage
, 8
Referee
Sebastian Gishamer
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Nottingham Forest
1W 3D 1L
1 GF · 0.4 GA
L
H
Liverpool
0-1
Liverpool
0-1
D
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
D
H
Crystal Palace
1-1
Crystal Palace
1-1
W
H
Ferencvárosi
4-0
Ferencvárosi
4-0
D
H
Arsenal
0-0
Arsenal
0-0
1W 3D 1L
1 GF · 0.4 GA
L
H
Liverpool
0-1
Liverpool
0-1
D
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
D
H
Crystal Palace
1-1
Crystal Palace
1-1
W
H
Ferencvárosi
4-0
Ferencvárosi
4-0
D
H
Arsenal
0-0
Arsenal
0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Fenerbahçe
3-0
Fenerbahçe
3-0
L
A
Leeds United
1-3
Leeds United
1-3
W
A
Brentford
2-0
Brentford
2-0
L
A
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
D
A
Wrexham
3-3
Wrexham
3-3
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Liverpool
0-1
Liverpool
0-1
W
A
Fenerbahçe
3-0
Fenerbahçe
3-0
D
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
L
A
Leeds United
1-3
Leeds United
1-3
D
H
Crystal Palace
1-1
Crystal Palace
1-1
Ferencvárosi
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Ludogorets
1-2
Ludogorets
1-2
L
A
Nottingham Forest
0-4
Nottingham Forest
0-4
D
A
Fenerbahçe
1-1
Fenerbahçe
1-1
W
A
Salzburg
3-2
Salzburg
3-2
W
A
Genk
1-0
Genk
1-0
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Panathinaikos
1-1
Panathinaikos
1-1
W
H
Rangers
2-1
Rangers
2-1
W
H
Ludogorets
3-1
Ludogorets
3-1
D
H
Viktoria Plzeň
1-1
Viktoria Plzeň
1-1
L
H
Qarabağ
1-3
Qarabağ
1-3
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Ludogorets
1-2
Ludogorets
1-2
L
A
Nottingham Forest
0-4
Nottingham Forest
0-4
D
A
Fenerbahçe
1-1
Fenerbahçe
1-1
W
A
Salzburg
3-2
Salzburg
3-2
W
A
Genk
1-0
Genk
1-0
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Ludogorets
1-2
Ludogorets
1-2
L
A
Nottingham Forest
0-4
Nottingham Forest
0-4
D
H
Panathinaikos
1-1
Panathinaikos
1-1
W
H
Rangers
2-1
Rangers
2-1
D
A
Fenerbahçe
1-1
Fenerbahçe
1-1
Sidelined Players
Nottingham Forest
3 out
Chris Wood
injury
John Victor
injury
Nicolò Savona
injury
Ferencvárosi
1 out
Stefan Gartenmann
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
Nottingham Forest
1
100%
Draws
0
0%
Ferencvárosi
0
0%
Avg Goals
4.0
BTTS
0%
League Signals
Predictability
51%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+12%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
21%
BTTS
53%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
Nottingham Forest have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Ferencvárosi have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.
