Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
5.38
42% pred
+23.3%
VALUE
Draw
4.25
27% pred
+3.2%
MARGINAL
Away Win
2.25
31% pred
-13.1%
BTTS Yes
1.69
61%
BTTS No
2.10
39%
Key Insights
Rotation Risk
Norwich City has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactStreak Watch
Birmingham City unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 41.9% home win vs 18.6% market consensus - higher probability, 23.3% gap
Medium impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on home win: 2.44 (188Bet) to 15.00 (Betfair) - 34.3% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on draw: 3.05 (HKJC) to 7.60 (MelBet) - 19.6% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
Medium impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on away win: 1.15 (Betsson) to 2.82 (Pinnacle) - 51.5% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactMatch Normality
30%
High risk match
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026
·
15:00
Venue
Carrow Road
(Norwich)
Competition
Championship
·
33
Referee
Farai Hallam
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Norwich City
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Birmingham City
1-2
Birmingham City
1-2
W
H
West Bromwich Albion
3-1
West Bromwich Albion
3-1
W
H
Blackburn Rovers
2-0
Blackburn Rovers
2-0
W
H
Coventry City
2-1
Coventry City
2-1
W
H
Walsall
5-1
Walsall
5-1
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Birmingham City
1-2
Birmingham City
1-2
W
H
West Bromwich Albion
3-1
West Bromwich Albion
3-1
W
H
Blackburn Rovers
2-0
Blackburn Rovers
2-0
W
H
Coventry City
2-1
Coventry City
2-1
W
H
Walsall
5-1
Walsall
5-1
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
A
Oxford United
3-0
Oxford United
3-0
L
A
Middlesbrough
0-1
Middlesbrough
0-1
W
A
West Bromwich Albion
5-0
West Bromwich Albion
5-0
W
A
Wrexham
2-1
Wrexham
2-1
W
A
Queens Park Rangers
2-1
Queens Park Rangers
2-1
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Birmingham City
1-2
Birmingham City
1-2
W
H
West Bromwich Albion
3-1
West Bromwich Albion
3-1
W
A
Oxford United
3-0
Oxford United
3-0
W
H
Blackburn Rovers
2-0
Blackburn Rovers
2-0
L
A
Middlesbrough
0-1
Middlesbrough
0-1
Birmingham City
4W 1D 0L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Norwich City
2-1
Norwich City
2-1
W
A
Oxford United
2-0
Oxford United
2-0
W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
D
A
Swansea City
1-1
Swansea City
1-1
W
A
Cambridge United
3-2
Cambridge United
3-2
2W 3D 0L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Leeds United
1-1
Leeds United
1-1
D
H
West Bromwich Albion
0-0
West Bromwich Albion
0-0
W
H
Leicester City
2-1
Leicester City
2-1
D
H
Stoke City
1-1
Stoke City
1-1
W
H
Coventry City
3-2
Coventry City
3-2
4W 1D 0L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Norwich City
2-1
Norwich City
2-1
W
A
Oxford United
2-0
Oxford United
2-0
W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
D
A
Swansea City
1-1
Swansea City
1-1
W
A
Cambridge United
3-2
Cambridge United
3-2
3W 2D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
A
Norwich City
2-1
Norwich City
2-1
D
H
Leeds United
1-1
Leeds United
1-1
D
H
West Bromwich Albion
0-0
West Bromwich Albion
0-0
W
H
Leicester City
2-1
Leicester City
2-1
W
A
Oxford United
2-0
Oxford United
2-0
Sidelined Players
Norwich City
4 out
Matej Jurasek
injury
Mirko Topić
injury
Ante Crnac
injury
Amankwah Forson
injury
Birmingham City
2 out
Ethan Laird
injury
Ethan Laird
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Norwich City
7
70%
Draws
0
0%
Birmingham City
3
30%
Avg Goals
3.2
BTTS
70%
League Signals
Predictability
51%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%
Final Words
Historically, Norwich City have dominated this fixture.
