NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles Almelo

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.32
65% pred
-10.6%
Draw
5.27
20% pred
+1.1%
Away Win
8.79
15% pred
+3.4%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes 1.68 44%
BTTS No 2.11 45%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Heracles Almelo

Heracles Almelo in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

Heracles Almelo

Heracles Almelo in position 16 with poor recent form (27% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

High Scoring

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen involved in high-scoring games: 9 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 8 of last 8 matches (100%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Heracles Almelo

Heracles Almelo has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Heracles Almelo

Heracles Almelo has Jizz Hornkamp ranked #7 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.09 (HKJC) to 1.45 (Unibet) - 22.8% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Match Normality

65%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 15:30
Venue
Sportpark De Weeren (Amsterdam)
Competition
Eredivisie · 22
Referee
Joey Kooij Joey Kooij

Coaches

Dick Schreuder

Dick Schreuder

NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen

In role since Jul 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Ernest Faber

Ernest Faber

Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo

In role since Dec 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.6 GA
L H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 1-3
W H Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 4-1
W H PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-1
D H Ajax Ajax 2-2
W H Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-1
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.6 GA
L H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 1-3
W H Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 4-1
W H PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-1
D H Ajax Ajax 2-2
W H Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-1
2W 3D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D A Ajax Ajax 1-1
D A Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1
W A AZ AZ 3-1
W A NAC Breda NAC Breda 4-3
D A Telstar Telstar 2-2
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
D A Ajax Ajax 1-1
D A Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1
L H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 1-3
W H Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 4-1
W A AZ AZ 3-1
Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo
0W 0D 5L
1.2 GF · 3.6 GA
L A Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-4
L A NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-4
L A Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-4
L A Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-2
L A PSV PSV 3-4
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.6 GA
L H NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-1
W H Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-1
L H FC Twente FC Twente 0-2
L H SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen 0-3
D H Telstar Telstar 1-1
0W 0D 5L
1.2 GF · 3.6 GA
L A Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-4
L A NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-4
L A Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-4
L A Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-2
L A PSV PSV 3-4
1W 0D 4L
1 GF · 2.8 GA
L A Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-4
L H NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-1
L A NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-4
W H Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-1
L A Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-4

Sidelined Players

NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2 out
Bryan Linssen
Bryan Linssen
injury
Bryan Linssen
Bryan Linssen
injury
Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 2 out
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde
injury
Sem Scheperman
Sem Scheperman
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

NEC Nijmegen
6
60%
Draws
1
10%
Heracles Almelo
3
30%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
70%

League Signals

Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%

Final Words

Heracles Almelo have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.