Napoli vs Roma

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.50
36% pred
-4.0%
Draw
2.80
28% pred
-7.2%
Away Win
3.32
36% pred
+5.4%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 2.21 39%
BTTS No 1.64 51%

Key Insights

BTTS Tendency

Napoli

Napoli matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Napoli

Napoli has Rasmus Højlund ranked #5 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 15 2026 · 19:45
Venue
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Napoli)
Competition
Serie A · 25
Referee
Andrea Colombo Andrea Colombo

Coaches

Antonio Conte
Antonio Conte Napoli Napoli

In role since Jul 2024

Attack Tempo

1.7

Defensive Control

38.6%

Match Shape

26.3%

Under Antonio Conte since 2024-07-01, Napoli’s metrics over three seasons show a compact defensive baseline (0.9 goals conceded per game) paired with a measured attack (1.7 per game). Clean sheets stand at 38.6% and BTTS is 47.4%, suggesting frequent but selective involvement by opponents in scoring games. Draws at 26.3% imply stability with limited variance. Given the modest sample, these tendencies should be treated with cautious interpretation.

Gian Piero Gasperini
Gian Piero Gasperini Roma Roma

In role since Jun 2025

Attack Tempo

1.5

Defensive Control

36.0%

Match Shape

23.7%

Roma, under Gian Piero Gasperini since 2025-06-06, across three seasons shows 1.5 goals for per match and 1.0 against. BTTS occurs in 51.8% of games, clean sheets in 36%, and draws in 23.7%. The data suggests a balanced attacking approach with a modest defensive footprint and a tendency for goals on both sides. Given the three-season sample, there is variance; estimates should be treated with caution.

Recent Form

Napoli Napoli
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D H Roma Roma 2-2
D H Como Como 1-1
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
L H Chelsea Chelsea 2-3
W H Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D H Roma Roma 2-2
D H Como Como 1-1
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
L H Chelsea Chelsea 2-3
W H Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 2 GA
L A Atalanta Atalanta 1-2
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
L A Juventus Juventus 0-3
D A FC København FC København 1-1
D A Inter Inter 2-2
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Atalanta Atalanta 1-2
D H Roma Roma 2-2
D H Como Como 1-1
W A Genoa Genoa 3-2
W H Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1
Roma Roma
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
D A Napoli Napoli 2-2
L A Udinese Udinese 0-1
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1
W A Torino Torino 2-0
W A Lecce Lecce 2-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Cremonese Cremonese 3-0
W H Cagliari Cagliari 2-0
D H AC Milan AC Milan 1-1
W H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 2-0
L H Torino Torino 2-3
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
D A Napoli Napoli 2-2
L A Udinese Udinese 0-1
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1
W A Torino Torino 2-0
W A Lecce Lecce 2-0
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Cremonese Cremonese 3-0
D A Napoli Napoli 2-2
W H Cagliari Cagliari 2-0
L A Udinese Udinese 0-1
D A Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1

Sidelined Players

Napoli Napoli 4 out
Amir Rrahmani 
Amir Rrahmani 
injury
Frank Anguissa 
Frank Anguissa 
injury
Kevin De Bruyne 
Kevin De Bruyne 
injury
Giovanni Di Lorenzo 
Giovanni Di Lorenzo 
injury
Roma Roma 8 out
Manu Koné
Manu Koné
injury
Robinio Vaz
Robinio Vaz
injury
Matías Soulé
Matías Soulé
injury
Stephan El Shaarawy
Stephan El Shaarawy
injury
Artem Dovbyk
Artem Dovbyk
injury

+3 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Napoli
4
40%
Draws
5
50%
Roma
1
10%
Avg Goals
2.0
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.7
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
51%

Final Words

Napoli host Roma in Serie A on 15 February 2026 at 19:45 UTC. Napoli is listed as the top pick at about 36%, with Roma near 35% and the draw around 29%. Rotation risk is noted due to a congested schedule, and there is no prior head-to-head data in the dataset.
Napoli Napoli

Napoli's last five results are D-W-W-L-L. They have 8 goals for and 10 against, averaging 1.4 points per match. A rotation risk is noted due to three fixtures in 14 days.

Roma Roma

Roma's last five results are W-L-D-D-W. They have 6 goals for and 3 against, averaging 1.6 points per match. Rotation risk is also noted in the dataset alongside the European qualification context.