Napoli vs Parma

Napoli

Napoli

0
-
0
Parma

Parma

Match Predictions

Home Win
58.5%
69% confidence
Draw
26.3%
67% confidence
Away Win
15.2%
67% confidence
Both Teams Score
36%
59% confidence

Match Odds

Home Win
1.33
75.2% implied
Best: 1.38 @ 1xbet
Draw
4.97
20.1% implied
Best: 5.25 @ Interwetten
Away Win
9.88
10.1% implied
Best: 11.50 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score
2.31
43.3% implied
Best: 2.48 @ Unibet
BTTS No
1.58
63.3% implied
Best: 1.63 @ Pinnacle

Key insights

Title Race

Napoli

Napoli in position 3, 4 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

European Race

Napoli

Napoli in position 3 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Napoli

Napoli has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

High impact

Rotation Risk

Parma

Parma has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Home Fortress

Napoli

Napoli unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (4 wins, 4 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

Match Normality

55%

Significant concerns

Recent Form

Pre-Match Analysis

Napoli vs. Parma kicks off at 17:30 [GMT] on Wednesday, January 14, at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.

Napoli

Napoli host Parma at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in a Serie A clash that pairs a title-chasing side with a mid-table outfit. Napoli sit 3rd with 39 points, while Parma trail in 14th on 21 points.

Despite their lofty position, Napoli’s home form has shown some inconsistency, with three draws in their last six matches across all competitions. That included last weekend’s hard-fought 2-2 draw with Inter, where they came back twice from a goal down.

That statistic does little to dampen their Maradona dominance, as they remain unbeaten in their last 19 Serie A home games. Across the league, Napoli have avoided defeat in 37 of their last 42 Serie A matches, underscoring why they remain firmly in the title conversation.

Offensively, Napoli appear to be finding their rhythm again. They have scored at least two goals in each of their last four Serie A matches.

This trend is reflected in recent home games as well. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in three of Napoli’s latest Serie A matches at the Maradona.

Victory here would put an end to a two-game winless run. A 3—4—2—1 with Rasmus Højlund in attack is expected against Parma.

Parma

Parma arrive in Naples with genuine belief, particularly based on their away form. They have been unbeaten in six of their last seven Serie A away matches, with three wins in their last six on the road.

This resilience away from home has been a key factor in keeping them clear of the relegation battle and gives them confidence heading into what is arguably one of the toughest fixtures in the league.

Napoli have had the edge in this matchup, winning half of the last six head-to-head encounters against Parma.

While that record suggests Parma are capable of being competitive, Napoli’s long-standing home strength and superior quality across the pitch make them clear favourites.

With Napoli pushing to keep pace at the top end of the table and Parma aiming to build on their strong away performances, this encounter promises an intriguing contrast in styles.

Napoli’s home dominance and attacking momentum will be tested against a Parma side that has proven difficult to beat on their travels, setting the stage for a compelling Serie A clash in Naples.

A 4—2—3—1 with Mateo Pellegrino in attack is expected against Napoli.

League Position

Napoli vs Parma

POS TEAM P W D L GD PTS
3
Napoli NAP
20 12 4 4 +13 40
14
Parma PRM
20 5 7 8 -8 22

Serie A Identity

Statistical markers from past 5 seasons

Home Win
39.1%
Home advantage
Draw
27.1%
Stalemates
Away Win
33.8%
Against the odds
Over 2.5
51%
High-scoring
Goals Per Match
2.7
Attacking patterns
BTTS
54.2%
Both teams score
Clean Sheets
6.4%
Shut outs
Scoring Minutes
0-15'
13%
15-30'
14%
30-45'
17%
45-60'
16.6%
60-75'
16.8%
75-90'
22.6%
Cards
4.5
+0.1 red
Predictability
50.5%
Pattern confidence
Blanks
6.3%
Failed to score
Corners
9.5
Per match