Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
2.70
28% pred
-8.8%
Draw
2.95
25% pred
-9.1%
Away Win
2.79
47% pred
+11.2%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
2.11
51%
MARGINAL
BTTS No
1.68
45%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
2.79
+11.2% edge
47% probability
Expected value: +0.31 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
74%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Santa Clara in position 14 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactMatch Normality
90%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 11 2026
·
15:30
Venue
Estádio da Madeira
(Ilha da Madeira)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
16
Referee
Fabio Verssimo
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Nacional
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
D
H
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
W
H
Rio Ave
4-0
Rio Ave
4-0
D
H
Santa Clara
3-3
Santa Clara
3-3
W
H
Tondela
3-1
Tondela
3-1
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
D
H
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
W
H
Rio Ave
4-0
Rio Ave
4-0
D
H
Santa Clara
3-3
Santa Clara
3-3
W
H
Tondela
3-1
Tondela
3-1
0W 1D 4L
1 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
Arouca
0-3
Arouca
0-3
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
L
A
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
1-2
Vitória Guimarães
1-2
D
A
AVS
2-2
AVS
2-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Arouca
0-3
Arouca
0-3
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
D
H
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
W
H
Rio Ave
4-0
Rio Ave
4-0
Santa Clara
0W 2D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Alverca
1-1
Alverca
1-1
L
A
Estrela Amadora
0-1
Estrela Amadora
0-1
L
A
Moreirense
0-1
Moreirense
0-1
D
A
Nacional
3-3
Nacional
3-3
L
A
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
0W 1D 4L
0.6 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
Benfica
1-2
Benfica
1-2
L
H
Estoril
2-4
Estoril
2-4
L
H
Famalicão
0-1
Famalicão
0-1
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
D
H
Arouca
0-0
Arouca
0-0
0W 2D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Alverca
1-1
Alverca
1-1
L
A
Estrela Amadora
0-1
Estrela Amadora
0-1
L
A
Moreirense
0-1
Moreirense
0-1
D
A
Nacional
3-3
Nacional
3-3
L
A
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
0W 1D 4L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
D
A
Alverca
1-1
Alverca
1-1
L
H
Benfica
1-2
Benfica
1-2
L
A
Estrela Amadora
0-1
Estrela Amadora
0-1
L
H
Estoril
2-4
Estoril
2-4
L
A
Moreirense
0-1
Moreirense
0-1
Sidelined Players
Nacional
3 out
Filipe Soares
injury
Ivanildo Fernandes
injury
Ulisses
injury
Santa Clara
3 out
MT
injury
MT
injury
Matheus Pereira
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 7)
Nacional
1
14%
Draws
1
14%
Santa Clara
5
71%
Avg Goals
3.4
BTTS
43%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Nacional have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Santa Clara have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5. The head-to-head favors Santa Clara in recent meetings.
