Nacional vs Porto

Value Assessment

Home Win
7.41
14% pred
+0.5%
Draw
4.56
21% pred
-1.3%
Away Win
1.40
65% pred
-6.1%
BTTS Yes 2.05 42%
BTTS No 1.73 47%

Key Insights

Title Race

Porto

Porto leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Away Specialist

Porto

Porto exceptional away form: 6 wins in last 8 away matches (75% win rate)

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Nacional

Nacional has Jesús Ramírez ranked #5 in league scoring (13 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Porto

Porto has Samu Aghehowa ranked #4 in league scoring (13 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

90%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sun, Feb 15 2026 · 15:30
Venue
Estádio da Madeira (Ilha da Madeira)
Competition
Liga Portugal · 22
Referee
José Armando Torres Bessa José Armando Torres Bessa

Coaches

Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido

Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido

Nacional Nacional

In role since Jul 2023

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Francesco Farioli

Francesco Farioli

Porto Porto

In role since Jul 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Nacional Nacional
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
L H Porto Porto 0-1
D H Casa Pia Casa Pia 0-0
W H Rio Ave Rio Ave 4-0
D H Santa Clara Santa Clara 3-3
W H Tondela Tondela 3-1
2W 2D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
L H Porto Porto 0-1
D H Casa Pia Casa Pia 0-0
W H Rio Ave Rio Ave 4-0
D H Santa Clara Santa Clara 3-3
W H Tondela Tondela 3-1
0W 1D 4L
1 GF · 2.2 GA
L A Arouca Arouca 0-3
L A Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-2
L A Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-2
L A Vitória Guimarães Vitória Guimarães 1-2
D A AVS AVS 2-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Arouca Arouca 0-3
L H Porto Porto 0-1
D H Casa Pia Casa Pia 0-0
L A Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-2
W H Rio Ave Rio Ave 4-0
Porto Porto
3W 1D 1L
1 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Nacional Nacional 1-0
L A Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-2
D A Viktoria Plzeň Viktoria Plzeň 1-1
W A Vitória Guimarães Vitória Guimarães 1-0
W A Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0
4W 1D 0L
2 GF · 0.4 GA
W H Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-0
D H Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-1
W H Rangers Rangers 3-1
W H Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 3-0
W H AVS AVS 2-0
3W 1D 1L
1 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Nacional Nacional 1-0
L A Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-2
D A Viktoria Plzeň Viktoria Plzeň 1-1
W A Vitória Guimarães Vitória Guimarães 1-0
W A Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-0
W A Nacional Nacional 1-0
D H Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-1
L A Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-2
W H Rangers Rangers 3-1

Sidelined Players

Nacional Nacional 3 out
Filipe Soares
Filipe Soares
injury
Ivanildo Fernandes
Ivanildo Fernandes
injury
Ulisses
Ulisses
injury
Porto Porto 7 out
Jakub Kiwior
Jakub Kiwior
injury
Martim Fernandes
Martim Fernandes
injury
Samu Aghehowa
Samu Aghehowa
injury
Iván Marcano
Iván Marcano
injury
Luuk de Jong
Luuk de Jong
injury

+2 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Nacional
9
90%
Draws
0
0%
Porto
1
10%
Avg Goals
2.9
BTTS
10%

League Signals

Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%

Final Words

Nacional have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Historically, Nacional have dominated this fixture.