NAC Breda vs Excelsior

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.85
45% pred
-9.1%
Draw
3.58
27% pred
-0.6%
Away Win
4.03
28% pred
+3.0%
BTTS Yes 1.76 44%
BTTS No 1.98 45%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

NAC Breda

NAC Breda in position 18 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

NAC Breda

NAC Breda in position 18 with poor recent form (13% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

NAC Breda

NAC Breda without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Streak Watch

Excelsior

Excelsior unbeaten in 5 games (1 wins, 4 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Upset Alert

NAC Breda

NAC Breda (position 18) is favorite despite being 9 places below Excelsior (position 9) - potential upset or market overreaction

Medium impact

Match Normality

95%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Fri, Feb 6 2026 · 19:00
Venue
Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)
Competition
Eredivisie · 22
Referee
Serdar Gözübüyük Serdar Gözübüyük

Coaches

Carl Hoefkens

Carl Hoefkens

NAC Breda NAC Breda

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Ruben den Uil

Ruben den Uil

Excelsior Excelsior

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

NAC Breda NAC Breda
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
W H FC Volendam FC Volendam 1-0
L H Excelsior Excelsior 0-2
D H FC Twente FC Twente 2-2
L H NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-4
L H Telstar Telstar 0-1
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
W H FC Volendam FC Volendam 1-0
L H Excelsior Excelsior 0-2
D H FC Twente FC Twente 2-2
L H NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-4
L H Telstar Telstar 0-1
1W 2D 2L
0.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 1-0
D A PSV PSV 2-2
D A FC Groningen FC Groningen 0-0
L A Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-1
L A Excelsior Excelsior 0-1
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
W H FC Volendam FC Volendam 1-0
W A Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 1-0
L H Excelsior Excelsior 0-2
D H FC Twente FC Twente 2-2
D A PSV PSV 2-2
Excelsior Excelsior
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-2
W A NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0
D A FC Twente FC Twente 0-0
D A AZ AZ 1-1
L A PSV PSV 1-5
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
L H AZ AZ 1-2
D H Ajax Ajax 2-2
D H Telstar Telstar 2-2
W H PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-1
L H FC Groningen FC Groningen 0-2
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-2
W A NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0
D A FC Twente FC Twente 0-0
D A AZ AZ 1-1
L A PSV PSV 1-5
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-2
L H AZ AZ 1-2
W A NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0
D H Ajax Ajax 2-2
D A FC Twente FC Twente 0-0

Sidelined Players

NAC Breda NAC Breda 4 out
Boy Kemper
Boy Kemper
injury
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen
injury
Moussa Soumano
Moussa Soumano
injury
Leo Greiml
Leo Greiml
injury
Excelsior Excelsior 2 out
Chris-Kévin Nadje
Chris-Kévin Nadje
suspended
Zach Booth
Zach Booth
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

NAC Breda
4
40%
Draws
3
30%
Excelsior
3
30%
Avg Goals
1.9
BTTS
30%

League Signals

Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%

Final Words

Excelsior have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.