Motor Lublin vs Pogoń Szczecin - Serie A Prediction & Analysis

Value Assessment

Home Win

2.60

43% pred

+4.5%

MARGINAL

Draw

3.48

25% pred

-3.3%

Away Win

2.42

32% pred

-9.6%

BTTS Yes 1.50 46%

BTTS No 2.46 42%

Key Insights

BTTS Tendency

Motor Lublin matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

Pogoń Szczecin matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Pogoń Szczecin has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Motor Lublin has Karol Czubak ranked #2 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 46.5% BTTS vs 66.7% market consensus - lower probability, 20.2% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

95%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 11:15

Venue

Arena Lublin (Lublin)

Competition

Ekstraklasa · 19

Referee

Łukasz Kuźma

Coaches

Mateusz Stolarski

Motor Lublin

In role since Mar 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Thomas Thomasberg

Pogoń Szczecin

In role since Sep 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Motor Lublin

1W 3D 1L

1.4 GF · 1.4 GA

L H

Lechia Gdańsk 2-3

W H

Pogoń Szczecin 2-1

D H

Jagiellonia Białystok 1-1

D H

Legia Warszawa 1-1

D H

Wisła Płock 1-1

1W 3D 1L

1.4 GF · 1.4 GA

L H

Lechia Gdańsk 2-3

W H

Pogoń Szczecin 2-1

D H

Jagiellonia Białystok 1-1

D H

Legia Warszawa 1-1

D H

Wisła Płock 1-1

2W 1D 2L

1.4 GF · 1.8 GA

W A

Piast Gliwice 2-1

L A

Jagiellonia Białystok 1-4

L A

Arka Gdynia 0-1

W A

Cracovia Kraków 2-1

D A

Lech Poznań 2-2

2W 1D 2L

1.6 GF · 2 GA

W A

Piast Gliwice 2-1

L H

Lechia Gdańsk 2-3

L A

Jagiellonia Białystok 1-4

W H

Pogoń Szczecin 2-1

D H

Jagiellonia Białystok 1-1

Pogoń Szczecin

1W 1D 3L

0.8 GF · 1.6 GA

W A

Górnik Zabrze 1-0

L A

Motor Lublin 1-2

L A

Katowice 0-2

L A

Wisła Płock 0-2

D A

Lech Poznań 2-2

2W 2D 1L

2 GF · 1.2 GA

W H

Arka Gdynia 1-0

D H

Nieciecza 1-1

D H

Radomiak Radom 2-2

W H

Zagłębie Lubin 5-1

L H

Jagiellonia Białystok 1-2

1W 1D 3L

0.8 GF · 1.6 GA

W A

Górnik Zabrze 1-0

L A

Motor Lublin 1-2

L A

Katowice 0-2

L A

Wisła Płock 0-2

D A

Lech Poznań 2-2

2W 2D 1L

1.2 GF · 1 GA

W A

Górnik Zabrze 1-0

W H

Arka Gdynia 1-0

D H

Nieciecza 1-1

L A

Motor Lublin 1-2

D H

Radomiak Radom 2-2

Sidelined Players

Motor Lublin 0 out

No reported absences

Pogoń Szczecin 4 out

Rajmund Molnár

injury

Sam Greenwood

suspended

Attila Szalai

injury

Rajmund Molnár

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 4)

Motor Lublin

2

50%

Draws

0

0%

Pogoń Szczecin

2

50%

Avg Goals

4.3

BTTS

75%

League Signals

Predictability

46%

LOW

Home Bias

+8%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.6

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

27%

BTTS

52%

Over 2.5

48%