Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
2.05
39% pred
-10.1%
Draw
3.15
26% pred
-5.4%
Away Win
3.84
35% pred
+8.9%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.95
47%
BTTS No
1.79
49%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
3.84
+8.9% edge
35% probability
Expected value: +0.34 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
69%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Tondela in position 17 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactEuropean Race
Moreirense in position 7 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactMust Win
Tondela in position 17 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 11 2026
·
18:00
Venue
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
(Moreira de Cónegos)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
16
Referee
Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Moreirense
2W 0D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
H
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
W
H
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
W
H
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
L
H
Benfica
0-4
Benfica
0-4
2W 0D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
H
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
W
H
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
W
H
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
L
H
Benfica
0-4
Benfica
0-4
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Rio Ave
2-1
Rio Ave
2-1
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
L
A
Alverca
1-2
Alverca
1-2
W
A
AVS
2-0
AVS
2-0
D
A
Estrela Amadora
0-0
Estrela Amadora
0-0
2W 0D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
W
A
Rio Ave
2-1
Rio Ave
2-1
L
H
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
W
H
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
Tondela
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
Estrela Amadora
2-0
Estrela Amadora
2-0
D
A
Estoril
2-2
Estoril
2-2
L
A
Famalicão
0-3
Famalicão
0-3
L
A
Moreirense
0-1
Moreirense
0-1
L
A
Nacional
1-3
Nacional
1-3
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Alverca
1-1
Alverca
1-1
D
H
Benfica
0-0
Benfica
0-0
L
H
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
W
H
Arouca
3-1
Arouca
3-1
L
H
Casa Pia
1-2
Casa Pia
1-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
Estrela Amadora
2-0
Estrela Amadora
2-0
D
A
Estoril
2-2
Estoril
2-2
L
A
Famalicão
0-3
Famalicão
0-3
L
A
Moreirense
0-1
Moreirense
0-1
L
A
Nacional
1-3
Nacional
1-3
1W 3D 1L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
W
A
Estrela Amadora
2-0
Estrela Amadora
2-0
D
H
Alverca
1-1
Alverca
1-1
D
A
Estoril
2-2
Estoril
2-2
D
H
Benfica
0-0
Benfica
0-0
L
A
Famalicão
0-3
Famalicão
0-3
Sidelined Players
Moreirense
1 out
Vasco Sousa
injury
Tondela
0 out
No reported absences
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Moreirense
4
40%
Draws
2
20%
Tondela
4
40%
Avg Goals
2.3
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Tondela have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.
