Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
12.08
17% pred
+8.5%
VALUE
Draw
5.65
23% pred
+5.7%
VALUE
Away Win
1.24
60% pred
-20.9%
BTTS Yes
2.18
50%
MARGINAL
BTTS No
1.63
50%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Draw
@
5.65
+5.7% edge
23% probability
Expected value: +0.32 units per bet
Confidence
Low
58%
Key Insights
Title Race
Sporting CP in position 2, 1 point behind leader - competing for title
High impactStreak Watch
Sporting CP unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactTop Scorer
Sporting CP has Luis Suárez ranked #1 in league scoring (20 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 59.8% away win vs 80.6% market consensus - lower probability, 20.9% gap
Medium impactMatch Normality
80%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026
·
18:00
Venue
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
(Moreira de Cónegos)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
23
Referee
Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa
Coaches
Coach assignment unavailable
Sporting CP
No active coach assignment available in current data for this team.
Recent Form
Moreirense
2W 0D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
H
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
W
H
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
W
H
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
L
H
Benfica
0-4
Benfica
0-4
2W 0D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
H
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
W
H
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
W
H
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
L
H
Benfica
0-4
Benfica
0-4
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Rio Ave
2-1
Rio Ave
2-1
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
L
A
Alverca
1-2
Alverca
1-2
W
A
AVS
2-0
AVS
2-0
D
A
Estrela Amadora
0-0
Estrela Amadora
0-0
2W 0D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
W
A
Rio Ave
2-1
Rio Ave
2-1
L
H
Gil Vicente
1-2
Gil Vicente
1-2
L
A
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
W
H
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
Sporting CP
3W 2D 0L
2 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Moreirense
3-0
Moreirense
3-0
D
A
Porto
1-1
Porto
1-1
W
A
Athletic Club
3-2
Athletic Club
3-2
W
A
Arouca
2-1
Arouca
2-1
D
A
Gil Vicente
1-1
Gil Vicente
1-1
5W 0D 0L
2.4 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Famalicão
1-0
Famalicão
1-0
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
W
H
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
W
H
Casa Pia
3-0
Casa Pia
3-0
W
H
Rio Ave
4-0
Rio Ave
4-0
3W 2D 0L
2 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Moreirense
3-0
Moreirense
3-0
D
A
Porto
1-1
Porto
1-1
W
A
Athletic Club
3-2
Athletic Club
3-2
W
A
Arouca
2-1
Arouca
2-1
D
A
Gil Vicente
1-1
Gil Vicente
1-1
4W 1D 0L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Moreirense
3-0
Moreirense
3-0
W
H
Famalicão
1-0
Famalicão
1-0
D
A
Porto
1-1
Porto
1-1
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
W
A
Athletic Club
3-2
Athletic Club
3-2
Sidelined Players
Moreirense
1 out
Vasco Sousa
injury
Sporting CP
6 out
Pedro Gonçalves
injury
Pedro Gonçalves
suspended
Maxi Araújo
suspended
Jeremiah St. Juste
injury
Geovany Quenda
injury
+1 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Moreirense
1
10%
Draws
1
10%
Sporting CP
8
80%
Avg Goals
2.6
BTTS
40%
League Signals
Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Moreirense host Sporting CP in Liga Portugal. Sporting CP are in second place, four points behind the leader, while Moreirense sit sixth and are pursuing European qualification. The fixture includes rotation risk for Sporting due to a congested schedule and a BTTS tendency noted as a signal.
Moreirense
Moreirense have five recent results: W-L-L-W-L. They have 2 wins, 3 losses, with 5 goals for and 6 against. There is no recorded head-to-head data against Sporting CP in this dataset.
Sporting CP
Sporting CP have five recent results: W-D-W-W-W. They have 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, with 9 goals for and 5 against. Rotation risk due to three fixtures in a 14-day window is noted in the insights.
