Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Value Assessment
Home Win
2.72
68% pred
+31.1%
VALUE
Draw
3.83
21% pred
-4.8%
Away Win
13.30
11% pred
+3.4%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes
1.96
44%
BTTS No
1.79
56%
Key Insights
Title Race
Middlesbrough in position 2, 3 points behind leader - competing for title
High impactRelegation Zone
Oxford United in position 23 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactRotation Risk
Oxford United has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactStreak Watch
Oxford United without a win in 5 games (2 draws, 3 losses) - struggling for results
High impactTop Scorer
Middlesbrough has Morgan Whittaker ranked #5 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 67.9% home win vs 36.8% market consensus - higher probability, 31.1% gap
High impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.27 (HKJC) to 8.20 (Betsson) - 66.5% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactBookmaker Split
Bookmakers disagree on draw: 1.06 (Betsson) to 5.20 (Dafabet) - 75.1% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
High impactMatch Normality
30%
High risk match
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026
·
15:00
Venue
Riverside Stadium
(Middlesbrough)
Competition
Championship
·
33
Referee
Oliver Langford
Coaches
Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.
Recent Form
Middlesbrough
3W 2D 0L
2 GF · 0.2 GA
D
H
Leicester City
1-1
Leicester City
1-1
D
H
Oxford United
0-0
Oxford United
0-0
W
H
Norwich City
1-0
Norwich City
1-0
W
H
Preston North End
4-0
Preston North End
4-0
W
H
Southampton
4-0
Southampton
4-0
3W 2D 0L
2 GF · 0.2 GA
D
H
Leicester City
1-1
Leicester City
1-1
D
H
Oxford United
0-0
Oxford United
0-0
W
H
Norwich City
1-0
Norwich City
1-0
W
H
Preston North End
4-0
Preston North End
4-0
W
H
Southampton
4-0
Southampton
4-0
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Coventry City
1-3
Coventry City
1-3
W
A
Sheffield United
2-1
Sheffield United
2-1
W
A
Stoke City
2-1
Stoke City
2-1
W
A
West Bromwich Albion
3-2
West Bromwich Albion
3-2
L
A
Fulham
1-3
Fulham
1-3
2W 2D 1L
1 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Leicester City
1-1
Leicester City
1-1
D
H
Oxford United
0-0
Oxford United
0-0
L
A
Coventry City
1-3
Coventry City
1-3
W
A
Sheffield United
2-1
Sheffield United
2-1
W
H
Norwich City
1-0
Norwich City
1-0
Oxford United
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Stoke City
1-2
Stoke City
1-2
D
A
Middlesbrough
0-0
Middlesbrough
0-0
D
A
Coventry City
0-0
Coventry City
0-0
L
A
Sheffield United
1-3
Sheffield United
1-3
W
A
Leicester City
2-1
Leicester City
2-1
0W 2D 3L
0 GF · 1.2 GA
L
H
Sunderland
0-1
Sunderland
0-1
L
H
Norwich City
0-3
Norwich City
0-3
L
H
Birmingham City
0-2
Birmingham City
0-2
D
H
Queens Park Rangers
0-0
Queens Park Rangers
0-0
D
H
Bristol City
0-0
Bristol City
0-0
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Stoke City
1-2
Stoke City
1-2
D
A
Middlesbrough
0-0
Middlesbrough
0-0
D
A
Coventry City
0-0
Coventry City
0-0
L
A
Sheffield United
1-3
Sheffield United
1-3
W
A
Leicester City
2-1
Leicester City
2-1
0W 2D 3L
0.2 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Stoke City
1-2
Stoke City
1-2
D
A
Middlesbrough
0-0
Middlesbrough
0-0
L
H
Sunderland
0-1
Sunderland
0-1
L
H
Norwich City
0-3
Norwich City
0-3
D
A
Coventry City
0-0
Coventry City
0-0
Sidelined Players
Middlesbrough
1 out
Darragh Lenihan
injury
Oxford United
2 out
Brodie Gilmore Spencer
injury
Ole Romeny
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 5)
Middlesbrough
0
0%
Draws
2
40%
Oxford United
3
60%
Avg Goals
3.6
BTTS
80%
League Signals
Predictability
51%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%
Final Words
Middlesbrough are near the top of the Championship, chasing the lead. Oxford United sit in the relegation zone and face a difficult test against a promotion hopeful. Insights flag rotation risk amid the broader context of a title race and relegation battle.
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough have a solid run at home. They have produced a positive goal difference at home in that stretch, and rotation risk is noted in the insights. In head-to-head, they drew with Oxford in their most recent meeting.
Oxford United
Oxford United's away form has been challenging. They have struggled on the road in recent meetings. Rotation risk is noted in the insights, alongside their position in the relegation zone.
