Middlesbrough vs Leicester City - Serie A Prediction & Analysis

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.49

63% pred

-4.1%

Draw

4.41

22% pred

-0.6%

Away Win

5.99

15% pred

-1.8%

BTTS Yes 1.75 53%

BTTS No 2.01 47%

Key Insights

Title Race

Middlesbrough in position 2, 2 points behind leader - competing for title

High impact

Relegation Zone

Leicester City in position 22 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Must Win

Leicester City in position 22 with poor recent form (13% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Leicester City without a win in 5 games (2 draws, 3 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

BTTS Tendency

Leicester City matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Leicester City has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Middlesbrough has Morgan Whittaker ranked #5 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Tue, Feb 24 2026 · 19:45

Venue

Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

Competition

Championship · 34

Referee

Andrew Kitchen

Coaches

Kim Hellberg

Middlesbrough

In role since Nov 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Gary Rowett

Leicester City

In role since Feb 2026

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Middlesbrough

3W 2D 0L

2 GF · 0.2 GA

D H

Leicester City 1-1

D H

Oxford United 0-0

W H

Norwich City 1-0

W H

Preston North End 4-0

W H

Southampton 4-0

3W 2D 0L

2 GF · 0.2 GA

D H

Leicester City 1-1

D H

Oxford United 0-0

W H

Norwich City 1-0

W H

Preston North End 4-0

W H

Southampton 4-0

3W 0D 2L

1.8 GF · 2 GA

L A

Coventry City 1-3

W A

Sheffield United 2-1

W A

Stoke City 2-1

W A

West Bromwich Albion 3-2

L A Fulham

Fulham 1-3

2W 2D 1L

1 GF · 1 GA

D H

Leicester City 1-1

D H

Oxford United 0-0

L A

Coventry City 1-3

W A

Sheffield United 2-1

W H

Norwich City 1-0

Leicester City

0W 3D 2L

1.2 GF · 1.6 GA

D A

Middlesbrough 1-1

D A

Stoke City 2-2

L A

Southampton 1-2

L A

Birmingham City 1-2

D A Wrexham

Wrexham 1-1

2W 0D 3L

1.6 GF · 2 GA

L H

Southampton 3-4

L H

Charlton Athletic 0-2

L H

Oxford United 1-2

W H

West Bromwich Albion 2-1

W H

Derby County 2-1

0W 3D 2L

1.2 GF · 1.6 GA

D A

Middlesbrough 1-1

D A

Stoke City 2-2

L A

Southampton 1-2

L A

Birmingham City 1-2

D A Wrexham

Wrexham 1-1

0W 2D 3L

1.6 GF · 2.2 GA

D A

Middlesbrough 1-1

D A

Stoke City 2-2

L A

Southampton 1-2

L H

Southampton 3-4

L A

Birmingham City 1-2

Sidelined Players

Middlesbrough 1 out

Darragh Lenihan

injury

Leicester City 5 out

Harry Winks

suspended

Hamza Choudhury

injury

Jannik Vestergaard

injury

Jordan James

injury

Jamaal Lascelles

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Middlesbrough

2

20%

Draws

4

40%

Leicester City

4

40%

Avg Goals

2.1

BTTS

60%

League Signals

Predictability

52%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+9%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.5

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

26%

BTTS

49%

Over 2.5

46%

Final Words

Match in the Championship sees Middlesbrough host Leicester City on 24 February, with kickoff at 19:45 UTC. Middlesbrough sit in second place, three points behind the leader and are competing for European qualification, while Leicester City occupy the relegation zone. Rotation risk and other contextual signals are noted in the analysis.

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough's recent home form is D, L, W, W, W. They have three wins, one draw and one defeat in those five matches, with eight goals for and four against. The analysis identifies Middlesbrough as the favored side and notes rotation risk and a potential boost from their top scorer.

Leicester City

Leicester City's away form over the last five matches is D, L, L, L, L. They have scored seven goals and conceded twelve in those games. There are no previous head-to-head matches on record.