Mantova vs Sampdoria

Value Assessment

Home Win
4.13
40% pred
+15.6%
VALUE
Draw
3.14
30% pred
-2.0%
Away Win
2.21
30% pred
-14.9%
BTTS Yes 1.86 51%
BTTS No 1.88 49%

Key Insights

BTTS Tendency

Mantova

Mantova matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

Mantova

Mantova has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Sampdoria

Sampdoria has Massimo Coda ranked #8 in league scoring (9 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on home win: 2.75 (Unibet) to 8.00 (MelBet) - 23.9% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Bookmaker Split

Bookmakers disagree on away win: 1.44 (Betfair) to 2.65 (Dafabet) - 31.7% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

High impact

Match Normality

55%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 14:00
Venue
Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)
Competition
Serie B · 26
Referee
Kevin Bonacina Kevin Bonacina

Coaches

Francesco Modesto

Francesco Modesto

Mantova Mantova

In role since Dec 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Angelo Adamo Gregucci

Angelo Adamo Gregucci

Sampdoria Sampdoria

In role since Oct 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Mantova Mantova
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
W H Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-1
W H Bari 1908 Bari 1908 2-1
L H Venezia Venezia 2-5
D H Palermo Palermo 1-1
L H Empoli Empoli 0-1
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
W H Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-1
W H Bari 1908 Bari 1908 2-1
L H Venezia Venezia 2-5
D H Palermo Palermo 1-1
L H Empoli Empoli 0-1
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-2
L A Reggiana Reggiana 0-1
D A Pescara Pescara 2-2
W A Calcio Padova Calcio Padova 2-1
D A Carrarese Carrarese 0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W H Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-1
L A Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-2
L A Reggiana Reggiana 0-1
W H Bari 1908 Bari 1908 2-1
D A Pescara Pescara 2-2
Sampdoria Sampdoria
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Mantova Mantova 1-2
W A Modena Modena 2-1
D A Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-0
L A Avellino Avellino 1-2
D A Calcio Padova Calcio Padova 1-1
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 1 GA
W H Calcio Padova Calcio Padova 1-0
D H Palermo Palermo 3-3
W H Spezia Spezia 1-0
D H Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-1
W H Reggiana Reggiana 2-1
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Mantova Mantova 1-2
W A Modena Modena 2-1
D A Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-0
L A Avellino Avellino 1-2
D A Calcio Padova Calcio Padova 1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Mantova Mantova 1-2
W H Calcio Padova Calcio Padova 1-0
D H Palermo Palermo 3-3
W A Modena Modena 2-1
W H Spezia Spezia 1-0

Sidelined Players

Mantova Mantova 0 out

No reported absences

Sampdoria Sampdoria 5 out
Matteo Palma
Matteo Palma
injury
Nicholas Pierini
Nicholas Pierini
injury
Tommaso Martinelli
Tommaso Martinelli
injury
Lorenzo Venuti
Lorenzo Venuti
injury
Lorenzo Malanca
Lorenzo Malanca
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 4)

Mantova
2
50%
Draws
1
25%
Sampdoria
1
25%
Avg Goals
2.3
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
52%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.4
LOW
Draw Rate
32%
BTTS
52%
Over 2.5
44%