Lugano vs Winterthur

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.31
62% pred
-14.5%
Draw
5.24
21% pred
+1.4%
Away Win
8.41
18% pred
+5.8%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 1.73 47%
BTTS No 2.02 45%

Key Insights

Title Race

Lugano

Lugano in position 2, 4 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

Relegation Zone

Winterthur

Winterthur in position 12 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Streak Watch

Lugano

Lugano on 5-game winning streak - exceptional form

High impact

Streak Watch

Winterthur

Winterthur without a win in 5 games (1 draws, 4 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

High Scoring

Winterthur

Winterthur involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Match Normality

100%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 17:00
Venue
Stadio di Cornaredo (Lugano)
Competition
Super League · 21
Referee
Hüseyin Sanli Hüseyin Sanli

Coaches

Mattia Croci-Torti

Mattia Croci-Torti

Lugano Lugano

In role since Sep 2021

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Patrick Rahmen

Patrick Rahmen

Winterthur Winterthur

In role since Oct 2025

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Lugano Lugano
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 1 GA
W H Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 2-1
D H Servette Servette 1-1
W H Winterthur Winterthur 4-1
W H Young Boys Young Boys 3-0
W H Servette Servette 4-2
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 1 GA
W H Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 2-1
D H Servette Servette 1-1
W H Winterthur Winterthur 4-1
W H Young Boys Young Boys 3-0
W H Servette Servette 4-2
2W 3D 0L
1.8 GF · 1 GA
D A Basel Basel 1-1
D A Winterthur Winterthur 1-1
D A Grasshopper Grasshopper 1-1
W A Luzern Luzern 5-2
W A Zürich Zürich 1-0
1W 4D 0L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
W H Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 2-1
D A Basel Basel 1-1
D H Servette Servette 1-1
D A Winterthur Winterthur 1-1
D A Grasshopper Grasshopper 1-1
Winterthur Winterthur
0W 1D 4L
0.8 GF · 3.4 GA
L A Young Boys Young Boys 1-6
L A Zürich Zürich 0-3
L A Lugano Lugano 1-4
L A Sion Sion 0-2
D A Zürich Zürich 2-2
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2.6 GA
L H St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-5
D H Lugano Lugano 1-1
W H Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 2-1
L H Thun Thun 1-4
L H Basel Basel 1-2
0W 1D 4L
0.8 GF · 3.4 GA
L A Young Boys Young Boys 1-6
L A Zürich Zürich 0-3
L A Lugano Lugano 1-4
L A Sion Sion 0-2
D A Zürich Zürich 2-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 3.2 GA
L H St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-5
L A Young Boys Young Boys 1-6
L A Zürich Zürich 0-3
D H Lugano Lugano 1-1
W H Lausanne Sport Lausanne Sport 2-1

Sidelined Players

Lugano Lugano 5 out
Hannes Delcroix
Hannes Delcroix
injury
Kevin Behrens
Kevin Behrens
injury
Martim Marques
Martim Marques
injury
Claudio Cassano
Claudio Cassano
injury
Yassin Sbai
Yassin Sbai
suspended
Winterthur Winterthur 6 out
Francis Momoh
Francis Momoh
injury
Loïc Lüthi
Loïc Lüthi
suspended
Souleymane Diaby
Souleymane Diaby
injury
Basil Stillhart
Basil Stillhart
injury
Pajtim Kasami
Pajtim Kasami
injury

+1 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Lugano
8
80%
Draws
2
20%
Winterthur
0
0%
Avg Goals
4.2
BTTS
100%

League Signals

Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
28%
BTTS
61%
Over 2.5
57%

Final Words

Lugano have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Winterthur have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, Lugano have dominated this fixture.