Liverpool vs Qarabağ

Full Time

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.10
55% pred
-35.5%
Draw
11.22
22% pred
+12.7%
VALUE
Away Win
19.66
23% pred
+18.0%
VALUE
BTTS Yes 1.87 43%
BTTS No 1.90 46%

Key Insights

European Race

Liverpool

Liverpool in position 4 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Liverpool

Liverpool has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

High Scoring

Qarabağ

Qarabağ involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 55.4% home win vs 90.9% market consensus - lower probability, 35.5% gap

High impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Jan 28 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Anfield (Liverpool)
Competition
Champions League · League Stage , 8
Referee
Ivan Kružliak Ivan Kružliak

Coaches

Arne Slot

Arne Slot

Liverpool Liverpool

In role since Jul 2024

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Qurban Qurbanov

Qurban Qurbanov

Qarabağ Qarabağ

In role since Aug 2008

Tactical tendency badges are currently unavailable for this league context.

Recent Form

Liverpool Liverpool
3W 1D 1L
3 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0
L H Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
W H Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-1
W H Qarabağ Qarabağ 6-0
D H Burnley Burnley 1-1
3W 1D 1L
3 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0
L H Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
W H Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-1
W H Qarabağ Qarabağ 6-0
D H Burnley Burnley 1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0
W A Sunderland Sunderland 1-0
L A AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth 2-3
W A Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 3-0
D A Arsenal Arsenal 0-0
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 0.6 GA
W A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0
W H Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0
W A Sunderland Sunderland 1-0
L H Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
W H Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-1
Qarabağ Qarabağ
2W 0D 3L
1.4 GF · 2.8 GA
L A Liverpool Liverpool 0-6
L A Napoli Napoli 0-2
L A Athletic Club Athletic Club 1-3
W A Benfica Benfica 3-2
W A Ferencvárosi Ferencvárosi 3-1
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 2.8 GA
L H Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-6
W H Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2
L H Ajax Ajax 2-4
D H Chelsea Chelsea 2-2
W H FC København FC København 2-0
2W 0D 3L
1.4 GF · 2.8 GA
L A Liverpool Liverpool 0-6
L A Napoli Napoli 0-2
L A Athletic Club Athletic Club 1-3
W A Benfica Benfica 3-2
W A Ferencvárosi Ferencvárosi 3-1
1W 0D 4L
1.2 GF · 4 GA
L H Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-6
L A Liverpool Liverpool 0-6
W H Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2
L H Ajax Ajax 2-4
L A Napoli Napoli 0-2

Sidelined Players

Liverpool Liverpool 8 out
Florian Wirtz
Florian Wirtz
injury
Stefan Bajcetic
Stefan Bajcetic
suspended
Harvey Davies
Harvey Davies
suspended
Alexander Isak
Alexander Isak
injury
Giovanni Leoni
Giovanni Leoni
injury

+3 more

Qarabağ Qarabağ 2 out
Jérémie Gnali
Jérémie Gnali
suspended
Kady Borges
Kady Borges
suspended

Head-to-Head (Last 1)

Liverpool
1
100%
Draws
0
0%
Qarabağ
0
0%
Avg Goals
6.0
BTTS
0%

League Signals

Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%

Final Words

Liverpool enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Qarabağ have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.